Maitland Women - Charlestown Azzurri Women prediction 19 July 2026

The Maitland Women vs Charlestown Azzurri Women prediction for July 19, 2026, points to a dominant home side. In this NPL NSW Women clash, Maitland Women hold an 88% win probability, making them overwhelming favorites against Charlestown Azzurri Women. The match kicks off at 05:00 UTC, and all signs point to a comfortable home victory.

Team Form

Maitland Women come into this fixture with solid recent results. Their last five matches show three wins, one draw, and one loss: a 1-2 defeat at New Lambton Women (Jun 27), a 4-0 home win over Adamstown Rosebud Women (Jun 14), a 6-2 away thrashing of Broadmeadow Magic Women (Jun 3), a 0-0 draw at Broadmeadow Magic Women (May 29), and a 5-0 home demolition of Newcastle Olympic Women (May 22). That’s 15 goals scored in those five games, highlighting their attacking firepower.

Charlestown Azzurri Women have been far less convincing. Their last five outings produced one win, three draws, and one loss: a 0-0 draw at Newcastle Olympic Women (Jun 28), a 0-3 home loss to New Lambton Women (Jun 20), a 0-0 home draw with Broadmeadow Magic Women (Jun 13), a 2-0 away win at Lake Macquarie City Women (Jun 10), and a 0-0 draw at Lake Macquarie City Women (May 24). They have managed just two goals in that stretch and struggled to create chances.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record heavily favors Maitland Women. In 12 previous meetings, Maitland have won 7, Charlestown Azzurri have won 4, and there has been 1 draw. The last five encounters, however, have been more balanced: two wins each and one draw. The most recent match on May 9, 2026, saw Maitland Women cruise to a 4-0 home victory. Earlier in 2026, Maitland also won 3-0 away. The only recent blemish was a 0-1 home loss in August 2025.

Win Probability: Maitland Women or Charlestown Azzurri Women?

Based on the available odds, team form, and head-to-head data, we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Maitland Women win: 88%
• Draw: 9%
• Charlestown Azzurri Women win: 3%

The odds imply an even higher chance for the home side (over 90% when removing the bookmaker margin), but we have slightly adjusted for the recent H2H balance and Charlestown’s ability to grind out draws. Still, Maitland’s superior form, home advantage, and historical dominance make them the clear pick to win. The probability of an away upset is extremely low.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced Maitland Women as massive favorites. The best available odds for a home win range from 1.03 to 1.12, while a draw is offered between 5.50 and 17.00, and an away win for Charlestown Azzurri Women sits between 23.00 and 48.00. These odds reflect the gulf in quality and expected match outcome.

Maitland Women vs Charlestown Azzurri Women prediction: Based on the stats, Maitland Women should secure a comfortable victory. The home side’s attacking form and Charlestown’s lack of goals point to a multi-goal winning margin. A correct score bet on 3-0 or 4-0 could offer value, but the safest pick is simply a home win.