Changchun Yatai - Wuxi Wugou prediction 17 July 2026

Changchun Yatai vs Wuxi Wugou prediction for their China. League One clash on Jul 17, 2026 at 11:00. Our model gives Changchun Yatai a 40% win probability, the draw a 35% chance, and Wuxi Wugou a 25% likelihood of victory.

Team Form

Changchun Yatai's last five games: W, L, W, D, L. They beat Meizhou Hakka 3-1 away, lost 1-2 at home to Guangxi Hengchen FC, beat Dalian K'un City 2-1 at home, drew 2-2 away at Yanbian Longding, and lost 0-4 at home to Shenzhen Juniors FC. At home, they have three wins and three losses (no draws) with seven goals scored and ten conceded, showing a vulnerable defense.

Wuxi Wugou's last five results: L, D, D, D, W. They lost 2-1 away to Shaanxi Union, drew 3-3 away at Heilongjiang Ice City FC, drew 2-2 at home against Qingdao Hainiu (FA Cup), drew 1-1 at home with Meizhou Hakka, and won 3-1 away at Suzhou Jinfu Dongwu. Wuxi are unbeaten in four of their last five, with three draws, highlighting their resilience and ability to grind out results.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head record between Changchun Yatai and Wuxi Wugou, as the two teams have never met before.

League Table Positions

Changchun Yatai sit 8th in China. League One with 19 points from 13 matches (6 wins, 1 draw, 6 losses, goals 20:22). Their home record is exactly 3 wins and 3 losses, with no draws, and they are not among the top eight home performers. Wuxi Wugou are 10th with 17 points (4 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses, goals 21:16). They also do not feature in the top eight away standings, but their five draws overall make them a stubborn opponent, especially on the road where they have collected points in three of their last five away league games.

Win Probability: Changchun Yatai or Wuxi Wugou?

The average bookmaker odds (2.03 home, 2.43 draw, 3.53 away) imply a 41.5% chance for Changchun, 34.7% for the draw, and 23.9% for Wuxi after removing the overround. After adjusting for recent form – Changchun's inconsistent home displays and Wuxi's draw-heavy recent run – our final win probabilities are: Changchun Yatai 40%, draw 35%, Wuxi Wugou 25%. Changchun Yatai is the most likely winner, but the draw is a very strong possibility, almost equal to the home win chance.

Odds & Match Prediction

Average bookmaker odds: Changchun Yatai win at 2.03, draw at 2.43, Wuxi Wugou win at 3.53. The betting market clearly sees Changchun as the favorite, but the low draw odds reflect the expectation of a tight contest. Based on the stats, Changchun Yatai has a slight edge, but Wuxi Wugou's ability to draw matches cannot be ignored. A low-scoring draw or a narrow home win are the most likely outcomes. Our prediction: Changchun Yatai to win or draw, with the draw holding significant value.