Zbrojovka Brno - Ceske Budejovice prediction 23 May 2026

The Ceske Budejovice vs Zbrojovka Brno prediction for May 23, 2026, in the FNL sees Zbrojovka Brno as the clear favorite with a 65% win probability. Ceske Budejovice host the league leaders at 12:00, and based on form, standings, and head-to-head record, the visitors hold a significant advantage. This match prediction page breaks down every key factor, including recent results, H2H history, and a full win probability breakdown.

Team Form

Ceske Budejovice’s last five matches show a mixed run: D, L, L, D, W. Just one win in that stretch highlights their inconsistency, and they have struggled to keep clean sheets. The three goals conceded in the most recent away loss underline defensive frailties.

Zbrojovka Brno, on the other hand, have been in outstanding form with four wins in their last five (W, W, W, W, L). That sole defeat came in a friendly, and across all competitions the team has scored 13 goals in those four victories. Their attacking threat and solid defence make them the team to beat in this fixture.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, this matchup has favoured Zbrojovka Brno. From 16 previous head-to-head meetings, Ceske Budejovice have won 6 times at home, Brno have won 9 away, and there has been 1 draw. The last four encounters before this match read: Jul 18, 2025 – Ceske Budejovice 0-2 Zbrojovka Brno; Apr 26, 2023 – Brno 1-1 Ceske Budejovice; Mar 01, 2023 – Ceske Budejovice 2-1 Brno; Nov 05, 2022 – Ceske Budejovice 3-2 Brno. Brno have lost only once in the last four, and their overall H2H superiority is a key factor in this prediction.

League Table Positions

The FNL standings paint a stark contrast. Zbrojovka Brno sit 1st with 73 points from 29 games (23 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses). They boast the best away record in the division: 11 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 defeat, scoring 29 goals and conceding only 13 on the road. Ceske Budejovice are 11th with 34 points, having won only 10 of their 29 matches and losing 15. Their home form is not among the top eight in the league, indicating a real vulnerability when hosting high-flying opponents.

Win Probability: Ceske Budejovice or Zbrojovka Brno?

After evaluating all available stats – the league gap, head-to-head edge, and recent form – we calculate the outcome probabilities for this match. Zbrojovka Brno’s dominant away campaign and Ceske Budejovice’s mid-table struggles give the visitors a commanding chance.

• Ceske Budejovice win: 15%
• Draw: 20%
• Zbrojovka Brno win: 65%

The conclusion is clear: Zbrojovka Brno have a 65% probability of winning this match. Their superior league position, outstanding away record, and historical dominance over Ceske Budejovice make them the likeliest winner. The draw occupies a 20% chance, while a home upset remains a long shot at just 15%.

Odds & Match Prediction

No pre-match odds are currently available in the data. However, based on the statistics, bookmakers would almost certainly price Zbrojovka Brno as heavy favourites. The away win offers the highest implied probability, and any odds on a Ceske Budejovice victory would carry substantial value for risk-seeking punters.

Overall, our Ceske Budejovice vs Zbrojovka Brno prediction recommends backing Brno to claim another three points. The form guide, league table, and head-to-head record all point to an away victory. For bettors, the match outcome markets will likely reflect this gap, and alternative bets such as total goals or handicap markets could also be worth exploring on matchday.