Guarani Asuncion Women - Cerro Porteno Women prediction 23 May 2026

The Cerro Porteno Women vs Guarani Asuncion Women prediction for the Paraguay Championship Women match on May 23, 2026, points to a tight contest with Guarani Asuncion Women holding a slight edge. Based on the head-to-head record and recent form, Guarani enters as the favorite with a 40% win probability, while Cerro Porteno Women has a 30% chance to win and the draw stands at 30%.

Team Form

Cerro Porteno Women’s last result before this fixture was a commanding 7-0 home win against Recoleta FC Women on May 16, 2026. That victory showcased their attacking potential on home soil. Guarani Asuncion Women, on the other hand, played a 1-1 draw away to Nacional Humaita Women on May 17 and enjoyed a 4-2 home win over 2 de Mayo Women on May 10. Both teams showed mixed signs in the immediate run-up, but Guarani’s ability to score on the road could be decisive.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last four meetings between these sides before May 23, Guarani Asuncion Women held the upper hand with two wins to Cerro Porteno Women’s one, along with one draw. The most recent clash at Cerro Porteno’s stadium on December 9, 2025, ended in a 1-0 victory for the visitors. The overall head-to-head record (including all venues) shows Guarani with 3 wins, Cerro Porteno with 1 win, and 1 draw in the last five encounters. This historical advantage strengthens Guarani’s favorite status.

Win Probability: Cerro Porteno Women or Guarani Asuncion Women?

After analyzing the available data, the win probabilities for this match are as follows: Cerro Porteno Women win – 30%, Draw – 30%, Guarani Asuncion Women win – 40%. The reasoning is based primarily on the head-to-head record, where Guarani has won three of the last five meetings, including a recent away win at Cerro Porteno. The lack of recent pre-match form for both teams (only one match each) gives greater weight to the historical matchups. Home advantage for Cerro Porteno is counterbalanced by Guarani’s solid away results in this fixture. Therefore, Guarani Asuncion Women emerges as the most likely winner, though a draw remains a realistic outcome.

Match Prediction & Betting Tips

While no bookmaker odds are available for this matchup, the statistical analysis suggests a low-scoring affair with a slight away leaning. Our prediction is a 1-1 draw or a narrow 1-0 win for Guarani Asuncion Women, but Cerro Porteno Women’s home threat cannot be dismissed. Bettors may consider the draw or the away win as the value picks based on the underlying data.