Our Centro de Formacion Chaco Gimenez vs Alebrijes CDMX prediction for the Liga TDP match on March 21, 2026, at 17:00 UTC gives Alebrijes CDMX a 35% win probability, with a draw at 35% and Centro de Formacion Chaco Gimenez at 30%. The visitors are slight favorites based on the only head-to-head result and marginally better recent defensive numbers.
Centro de Formacion Chaco Gimenez enter this match in poor form. Their last five results read L, L, D, D, L. They have failed to win in five outings, scoring just one goal in that period while conceding 15. The most recent home game was a heavy 0-6 loss to CF Pachuca 3, and the only goal came in a 1-1 draw with Atletico Huejutla. The attack has been largely ineffective.
Alebrijes CDMX have also struggled, with a last-five sequence of L, L, L, L, W. The sole victory was a 1-0 away win against this same opponent on March 21. They have only scored three goals in their last five matches, but defensively they have been slightly more resilient, conceding seven times. The win at Centro de Formacion Chaco Gimenez will give them a psychological edge.
The head-to-head record consists of only one match: the 1-0 victory by Alebrijes CDMX on March 21, 2026. In that game, Centro de Formacion Chaco Gimenez failed to score at home, and the visitors took all three points. This single result shows Alebrijes CDMX have already proven they can win in this fixture.
We calculate the win probabilities based on team form, the H2H record, and the home/away factor. Alebrijes CDMX are given a 35% chance to win, the draw is also at 35%, and Centro de Formacion Chaco Gimenez have a 30% chance. The home team has not won in five matches, and the only H2H meeting ended in an away win. While neither side is in good shape, the visitorsโ slightly better defensive record and that recent H2H success tilt the balance. The high probability of a draw reflects both teamsโ low scoring rates.
Match odds are not available in the supplied data. However, based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow away win or a draw. Our prediction leans towards Alebrijes CDMX to win with a low-scoring affair, but the draw is an equally probable result. Without exact odds, we cannot compare bookmaker margins, but the form guide suggests a tight contest with few goals.