CE Europa Women - Deportivo Alaves Women prediction 4 April 2026

CE Europa Women vs Deportivo Alaves Women prediction for April 4, 2026. In this Primera Federacion Women (Spain) fixture, Deportivo Alaves Women are the clear favourites with a 60% win probability. The home side CE Europa Women have just a 15% chance to win, with the draw rated at 25%. Below we break down all the key stats, team form, head-to-head data and our final match prediction.

Team Form

CE Europa Women come into this match struggling for victories. In their last two outings before this fixture they recorded back-to-back draws: 1‑1 away at Atletico Madrid B (Mar 28) and 1‑1 at home to Villarreal Women (Mar 22). The overall picture (looking at their last five completed matches) shows one win, three draws and one loss, with the only win coming after this contest. At home they have been especially blunt, failing to win any of their last two at their own ground.

Deportivo Alaves Women, on the other hand, are in solid form. They are unbeaten in their last two matches before this clash: a 1‑0 away win at UD Granadilla Tenerife Sur B (Mar 22) and a 1‑1 home draw with Cacereno Women (Mar 29). Across their last five overall results they have three wins and two draws, highlighting consistency. Alaves have also shown they can get results on the road, making them a dangerous opponent here.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is completely one‑sided. The two sides have met three times previously, and Deportivo Alaves Women have won all three meetings. They triumphed 3‑0 away in November 2023 and followed it up with a 2‑0 home victory in November 2025. Crucially, CE Europa Women have yet to score a single goal against Alaves in those encounters, losing by a combined 0‑5. This psychological edge simply cannot be overlooked.

Win Probability: CE Europa Women or Deportivo Alaves Women?

Based on all available data, we calculate the following win probabilities:

• CE Europa Women win: 15%
• Draw: 25%
• Deportivo Alaves Women win: 60%

The reasoning is straightforward. Alaves’s perfect head-to-head record (three wins out of three), their far superior recent form, and CE Europa’s inability to win at home or score against this opponent point overwhelmingly towards an away victory. Even when factoring in the home advantage, CE Europa’s chances remain slim. The draw probability reflects the possibility of Alaves being held, but the most likely outcome is a Deportivo Alaves Women win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmaker odds for this fixture are not available in the provided data, so we rely purely on statistical analysis. The numbers clearly make Deportivo Alaves Women the expected winner. Considering the head-to-head dominance and CE Europa’s sluggish attacking displays, an away win is the safest call. Our prediction: Deportivo Alaves Women to win.