CD Badajoz - Jaraiz prediction 24 May 2026

CD Badajoz vs Jaraiz prediction for the Tercera Federacion match on May 24, 2026 (16:30). Based on recent performances and head‑to‑head statistics, CD Badajoz enters this fixture as the favorite with a 55% win probability. The draw stands at 25%, while Jaraiz holds a 20% chance of causing an upset.

Team Form

CD Badajoz come into the game in solid shape. Their last five results show three wins and two draws (D‑W‑D‑W‑W). In that span, the team scored seven goals and conceded only two, keeping three clean sheets. The defensive solidity and an unbeaten run make them a tough opponent at home.

Jaraiz, on the other hand, have been inconsistent. Their form over the same period reads L‑W‑W‑L‑L, with just two victories and three defeats. They managed only three goals in those five outings while leaking seven, highlighting issues at both ends of the pitch. Away from home, the trend looks even more challenging for the visitors.

Head‑to‑Head Record

The historical match‑up between CD Badajoz and Jaraiz has favoured the hosts. In the five previous meetings, CD Badajoz have won three, Jaraiz have won two, and no match has ended in a draw. The balance of results indicates a fixture where one side usually takes all three points, with the home team often gaining the edge. That pattern, combined with Jaraiz’s recent struggles, strengthens the case for another CD Badajoz victory.

Win Probability: CD Badajoz or Jaraiz?

We calculate the outcome chances using current form, head‑to‑head record, and the home advantage factor. With no odds data available from bookmakers in our system, the probabilities are derived purely from the on‑pitch statistics:

• CD Badajoz win: 55%
• Draw: 25%
• Jaraiz win: 20%

CD Badajoz’s advantage is built on their unbeaten run (three wins, two draws in last five) and the historical edge (three wins in five H2H). Jaraiz’s away form dip and the lack of draws in this fixture push the probability toward the home side. A draw cannot be ruled out, however, given the tight margins in Tercera Federacion matches, especially when CD Badajoz have drawn two of their last five contests.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific betting odds for the 1X2 market are not available in our database at this time. Based on the stats, CD Badajoz appears the most likely winner. We expect a competitive match, but the data suggests the home side should have enough to collect all three points. For bettors, a home win is the primary prediction, while a draw is a plausible alternative given Badajoz’s two recent stalemates. The absence of draws in the head‑to‑head series may tempt punters to back a result at full‑time, but the form of both sides injects some uncertainty into the outcome.