Cascavel PR - Maringa PR prediction 22 December 2025

Cascavel PR vs Maringa PR prediction: The Friendly Clubs match on Dec 22, 2025, sees Maringa PR as the favorite with a 45% win probability. Cascavel PR has a 25% chance, while the draw stands at 30%.

Team Form

Cascavel PR's recent home form is poor. In their last five matches at home, they have recorded two draws and three losses (D, L, L, D, L). They drew 1-1 with Corinthians SP in a friendly on Jul 12, lost 1-2 to Marcilio Dias SC in Serie D on Jun 28, lost 1-2 to Gremio RS in a friendly on Jun 27, drew 2-2 with Marcilio Dias SC on Jun 21, and lost 0-1 to Santa Catarina SC on Jun 7. Cascavel PR have not won any of their last five home games, scoring just 5 goals and conceding 8 in that span.

Maringa PR, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last five away matches, with two wins and three draws (W, W, D, D, D). They beat Anapolis GO 1-0 on Jul 12, thrashed Volta Redonda RJ 4-0 on Jul 4, drew 2-2 with Inter de Limeira SP on Jun 27, drew 1-1 with Ser Caxias RS on Jun 21, and drew 0-0 with Maranhao MA on Jun 15. This strong away form, with 8 goals scored and only 3 conceded, gives them a clear edge.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is evenly balanced. In the last five meetings, Cascavel PR have won twice, Maringa PR have won twice, and one match ended in a draw. The most recent encounter, on Dec 22, 2025, finished 0-0. Earlier in 2025, Cascavel PR won 2-0 at home on Feb 1, while Maringa PR won 2-0 away on Dec 21, 2024. Maringa PR also won 3-1 at home on Mar 9, 2024, and Cascavel PR won 1-0 at home on Mar 4, 2024. The overall H2H record across all matches stands at 2 home wins, 2 draws, and 2 away wins, highlighting the competitive nature of this fixture.

Win Probability: Cascavel PR or Maringa PR?

Based on the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Cascavel PR 25%, draw 30%, Maringa PR 45%. Maringa PR's strong away form (unbeaten in five, two wins) contrasts sharply with Cascavel PR's home struggles (no wins in five). Although the head-to-head record is even, current form heavily favors the visitors. Notably, three of Maringa PR's last five away games ended in draws, indicating they can be held, but Cascavel PR's inability to secure a home win makes an away victory the most likely outcome. Therefore, Maringa PR is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this Friendly Clubs match are not provided in the data. However, our analysis points to a Maringa PR victory as the most probable outcome. A draw is also a realistic possibility given both teams' tendency to share points. Our Cascavel PR vs Maringa PR prediction is a Maringa PR win, with a draw as the next most likely result.