Cartusia Kartuzy - Victoria Wrzesnia prediction 1 April 2026

The Cartusia Kartuzy vs Victoria Wrzesnia prediction for the III Liga match on April 1, 2026, points to Victoria Wrzesnia as the slight favorite with a 40% win probability. The game kicks off at 14:30 UTC, and both teams will be looking to improve their standing in the Polish third tier.

Team Form

Cartusia Kartuzy come into this fixture in poor shape. Their last five matches have produced no wins, with three defeats and two draws (L, D, L, D, L). At home, they have struggled to find the net, failing to score in three of their last four outings at their own ground. The 0-2 loss to Zawisza Bydgoszcz on May 30 and the 0-1 defeat to Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce on May 16 highlight their attacking woes.

Victoria Wrzesnia have been inconsistent but have shown more promise. Their last five results read W, L, W, L, L, with victories over Lech Poznan II (2-1 away) and Kluczevia Stargard (2-1 at home). However, defensive lapses have cost them, as seen in the 1-3 home loss to Lipno Steszew and the 1-2 defeat at Unia Swarzedz. Overall, Victoria carry a slight edge in momentum.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between these sides took place on November 22, 2025, and ended in a 0-0 draw. That stalemate means neither team has a historical advantage, with the head-to-head record standing at 0 wins for Cartusia Kartuzy, 0 wins for Victoria Wrzesnia, and 1 draw.

League Table Positions

Neither Cartusia Kartuzy nor Victoria Wrzesnia feature in the top 12 of the III Liga standings, indicating both are positioned in the lower half of the table. While exact points and ranks are not available, it is clear that both sides have struggled to keep pace with the league's frontrunners. Home advantage could be a factor, but Cartusia's home form has been far from convincing.

Win Probability: Cartusia Kartuzy or Victoria Wrzesnia?

Based on the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Cartusia Kartuzy 30%, draw 30%, Victoria Wrzesnia 40%. The reasoning takes into account Victoria's slightly better recent form (two wins in five compared to Cartusia's zero), the evenly balanced head-to-head record, and Cartusia's poor home performances. While home advantage typically boosts the host's chances, Cartusia's ongoing struggles in front of goal reduce that effect. Therefore, Victoria Wrzesnia emerge as the more likely winner, though the match is expected to be tight.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are currently available for this fixture. When odds are released, they are likely to reflect Victoria Wrzesnia as the marginal favorite. Our prediction aligns with that view: Victoria Wrzesnia to win, based on the stats and form analysis. A low-scoring affair is probable, given both teams' recent difficulties in attack.