Carlos A. Mannucci - Deportivo Llacuabamba prediction 19 July 2026

Our Carlos A. Mannucci vs Deportivo Llacuabamba prediction for this Segunda Division match on July 19, 2026, gives the home side a 50% win probability. The game kicks off at 01:00 UTC at Estadio Mansiche in Trujillo, and bookmakers see Carlos A. Mannucci as the favorite to take all three points.

Team Form

Carlos A. Mannucci come into this match with a mixed but resilient recent record: two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings (W-W-D-L-D). They beat Molinos El Pirata 1-0 at home and thrashed Academia Deportiva Cantolao 4-1 away, but were held to goalless draws by Union Comercio and Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria, and lost 2-0 at Universidad Cesar Vallejo. Crucially, Mannucci are unbeaten at home this season, with three wins and one draw from four league matches at Estadio Mansiche, conceding just one goal.

Deportivo Llacuabamba top the overall standings and have won three of their last five (L-W-D-W-W). Their most recent result was a 3-1 away defeat at Molinos El Pirata, but prior to that they recorded a 3-0 home win over Academia Cantolao, a 0-0 draw at Union Comercio, and back-to-back home wins against Universidad Cesar Vallejo (2-0) and Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria (1-0). Away from home, Llacuabamba have collected seven points from four games (two wins, one draw, one loss), scoring five and conceding three.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings between these sides, Carlos A. Mannucci have won three and Deportivo Llacuabamba two, with no draws. The most recent clash, in March 2026, saw Llacuabamba win 3-0 at home. However, when Mannucci hosted in April 2025, they ran out 4-1 winners. At Estadio Mansiche, Mannucci have won both previous encounters (4-1 and 1-0), highlighting a strong home advantage in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Deportivo Llacuabamba sit 1st in the Segunda Division with 19 points from eight matches (6W-1D-1L, goals 14:3). Carlos A. Mannucci are 6th with 14 points (4W-2D-2L, goals 10:7). The home/away splits tell a more nuanced story: Mannucci are 3rd in the home table with 10 points from four games (3W-1D-0L, 6:1 goals), while Llacuabamba rank 5th in the away table with seven points from four trips (2W-1D-1L, 5:3 goals). Mannucci’s flawless home defensive record is a key factor.

Win Probability: Carlos A. Mannucci or Deportivo Llacuabamba?

Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home/away statistics, we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Carlos A. Mannucci win: 50%
• Draw: 30%
• Deportivo Llacuabamba win: 20%

The betting market implied a home win probability of around 41.5%, but we have adjusted this upward due to Mannucci’s unbeaten home record this season, their historical dominance at Estadio Mansiche in this fixture, and Llacuabamba’s recent away defeat. The draw probability is lowered from the market’s 37.4% because Mannucci’s home games tend to produce a result (only one draw in four), while Llacuabamba’s away chances are downgraded given the strength of the home side’s defence. Overall, Carlos A. Mannucci are the more likely winners.

Carlos A. Mannucci vs Deportivo Llacuabamba Odds & Prediction

Bookmakers’ average odds for this match are 2.01 for a home win, 2.23 for a draw, and 3.95 for an away win. These odds reflect Mannucci’s status as favorites. Taking into account the team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, our final Carlos A. Mannucci vs Deportivo Llacuabamba prediction is a home victory. The combination of Mannucci’s solid home defence and Llacuabamba’s occasional vulnerability on the road makes the home side the best bet.