Cameroon - Morocco prediction 9 January 2026

Cameroon vs Morocco prediction for the African Cup of Nations match on January 9, 2026, at 19:00. Based on historical results and Cameroon’s form before this fixture, Morocco is the clear favorite with a 65% chance to win.

Team Form

Cameroon approached the match in positive shape, recording consecutive African Cup of Nations wins – a 2-1 away victory over South Africa on January 4 and another 2-1 away win against Mozambique on December 31. The Indomitable Lions scored twice in each of those outings, showing attacking confidence. Pre-match form data for Morocco in this timeframe is not available, but their overall track record in the competition and head-to-head dominance outweigh the lack of recent sample.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record strongly favors Morocco. In eight total meetings, Morocco has won seven while Cameroon has managed just one win, with no draws. The most recent encounters before this match all ended in Moroccan victories: a 2-1 away win in July 2021, a 5-2 away win in July 2021, a 4-0 home win in February 2021, and a 2-0 home win in November 2018. Cameroon’s only victory came at home in an earlier meeting not listed in the recent H2H data. The historical trend leaves little doubt about which side has the psychological edge.

League Table Positions

Current league table standings are not available in the supplied data, so no positional comparison can be made. The analysis relies on form and head-to-head records alone.

Win Probability: Cameroon or Morocco?

Morocco enters the match as the favorite with a 65% win probability, while a draw is assigned 20% and a Cameroon win just 15%. The calculation is based on the inverse of implied odds where no bookmaker prices were available, adjusted by the massive 7-1 head-to-head advantage for Morocco and Cameroon’s recent local wins. The one-sided H2H history is the primary driver; even Cameroon’s current two-match winning run cannot offset the fact that Morocco has consistently beaten them across venues and tournaments. Home advantage gives Cameroon a slight uplift in the draw and win probabilities, but not enough to tip the balance.

Odds & Match Prediction

No match odds are provided in the data, so a direct bookmaker comparison isn’t possible. Based solely on the stats, the prediction follows the historical pattern: Morocco is more likely to win. A Morocco win is the most probable outcome, with a 65% chance. The correct score trend from past meetings suggests a multi-goal margin, but without exact odds the forecast sticks to the 1X2 market.