Calgary Wild FC Women - Montreal Roses Women prediction 18 July 2026

The Calgary Wild FC Women vs Montreal Roses Women prediction for July 18, 2026, points to a strong away favorite in this Northern Super League Women clash. Based on league table gaps and recent form, Montreal Roses Women enter the match with a significantly higher win probability. We break down the key stats, head-to-head record, and betting insights for this 01:00 kickoff.

Team Form

Calgary Wild FC Women are struggling badly. Their last five matches read D, L, L, L, W, with the sole win coming back in October 2025. They have conceded 15 goals in those five games while scoring only 5, highlighting serious defensive frailties. The 4-0 home loss to Halifax Tides Women and a 5-2 thrashing at Ottawa Rapid FC Women underline the crisis.

Montreal Roses Women show more stability, though not spectacular. Their recent form is W, L, D, D, L. A narrow 1-0 home win over Halifax Tides Women last time out ended a winless patch. Crucially, they remain top of the overall standings despite some inconsistent results, which speaks to their underlying quality.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met twice before. Montreal Roses Women hold the edge with 1 win and 1 draw. The most recent encounter on June 21, 2026, ended 1-1 at Montreal's ground. In the 2025 meeting, Montreal were dominant 2-0 winners. Calgary are yet to beat Montreal, failing to score in one of the two H2H clashes.

League Table Positions

The standings paint a stark picture. Montreal Roses Women sit 1st overall with 13 points from 6 games (4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Calgary Wild FC Women are rock bottom in 6th, with just 1 point from 5 matches (0 wins, 4 losses). The 12-point gap and a -13 goal difference for Calgary versus +7 for Montreal make this a classic top vs bottom contest.

Win Probability: Calgary Wild FC Women or Montreal Roses Women?

Calculating the outcome probabilities based on form, table position, head-to-head, and implied odds from standard bookmaker margins, we arrive at these estimates. Calgary Wild FC Women have a 20% chance of winning. The draw is at 25%. Montreal Roses Women have a 55% chance of winning. The league leaders' superior points tally, positive goal difference, and Calgary's dreadful defensive record heavily skew the likelihood toward an away victory. Home advantage for Calgary is largely offset by their zero wins all season.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not detailed in the available data, but based on the stats, bookmakers would see Montreal Roses Women as the clear favorites. A standard 1X2 market would likely price the away win around short odds, with Calgary as heavy underdogs. Considering Montreal's perfect away record of 3 wins and a draw, and Calgary's 0 wins from 4 home games, the prediction is an away win. The 1-1 draw in the reverse fixture offers a note of caution, but Calgary's current form makes a repeat unlikely.