| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:11 | +7 | 19 | |
| 2 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:13 | +2 | 18 | |
| 3 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | +1 | 17 | |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | +1 | 15 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 14 | |
| 6 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 14 | |
| 7 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | +2 | 13 | |
| 8 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | +2 | 13 | |
| 9 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 15:13 | +2 | 12 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 |
The CA LITO vs Deportivo Lsm match in the Uruguay Segunda Division was played on Jun 28, 2026, and ended in a 1-1 draw. Ahead of the game, our CA LITO vs Deportivo Lsm prediction assigned the home side a 40% win probability, with a 35% chance of a draw and Deportivo Lsm at 25%. This tight probability forecast reflected the close form both teams brought into the fixture.
CA LITOโs last five matches (including this fixture) produced the results: D, W, D, W, W. They beat Durazno 1-0, drew 0-0 with CA Artigas, defeated Platense 3-1, and beat Canadian 1-0 โ all before the 1-1 draw with Deportivo Lsm. The team remained unbeaten across those five outings, scoring in four.
Deportivo Lsm also came into this match on an unbeaten run of five games: D, W, W, D, W. They won 1-0 at Basanez, beat Platense 1-0 at home, drew 0-0 at Parque de Plata, and defeated Durazno 1-0 before the 1-1 draw at CA LITO. Both sides showed defensive solidity and were tough to beat.
The only head-to-head meeting between these two sides is this very fixture, which finished 1-1. With no prior encounters to analyse, there is no historical trend to lean on, making the match prediction fully reliant on current form and other factors.
Neither CA LITO nor Deportivo Lsm appear in the top-12 Segunda Division standings provided, so their exact league positions are unavailable. This suggests both teams may sit lower in the table, adding to the uncertainty when assessing their relative strength.
With no bookmaker odds available in our data, win probabilities were estimated from recent form, home advantage, and the single head-to-head result. Both teams entered the match in almost identical unbeaten streaks, making a draw a very realistic outcome. We calculated CA LITO has a 40% chance of winning, the draw sits at 35%, and Deportivo Lsm has a 25% chance. The home teamโs slightly more convincing wins earlier in the season gave them a marginal edge, but as the 1-1 final score shows, this was always a fixture that could go either way.
Bookmaker odds for this fixture were not available at the time of data collection. Without odds to guide any betting value analysis, the pre-match prediction leaned towards a draw or a narrow home win. The final 1-1 scoreline aligned perfectly with the most probable outcome according to our probability model.