CA Estudiantes Caseros Reserves vs Los Andes Reserves prediction for the Primera Nacional Reserve League fixture on July 16, 2026, at 15:00. The bookmakers see a draw as the most likely outcome, and our win probability model gives the draw a 41% chance. CA Estudiantes Caseros Reserves has a 33% chance of winning, while Los Andes Reserves sits at 26%.
CA Estudiantes Caseros Reserves come into this match with a mixed record: two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings. They lost 1-0 away to CA San Telmo Reserves, drew 0-0 at home with All Boys Reserves, beat Almirante Brown Reserves 2-0 away, drew 1-1 at Colegiales Reserves, and won 2-0 at home against CA Mitre Santiago Del Estero Reserve.
Los Andes Reserves have one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five. They drew 1-1 at home with CA Mitre Santiago Del Estero Reserve, lost 1-0 away to CA San Miguel Reserves, drew 3-3 at home with CA Ferrocarril Midland Reserves, won 3-2 away at Agropecuario Reserves, and drew 0-0 away at Agropecuario Reserves.
The only previous meeting between these sides was on June 18, 2025, in the same competition. That match ended in a 1-1 draw. The limited head-to-head data suggests a closely matched contest.
Our win probability calculation, based on the latest odds and recent form, gives CA Estudiantes Caseros Reserves a 33% chance of winning, the draw a 41% probability, and Los Andes Reserves a 26% chance. The home advantage and slightly better recent results (two wins in five) tilt the balance towards the home side, but the draw remains the single most probable outcome. Therefore, if you're looking for a winner, CA Estudiantes Caseros Reserves is the more likely team to take all three points.
Bookmakers have priced this match tightly. The best odds available show a home win at 2.95–3.10, a draw at 2.00–2.05, and an away win at 3.20–3.50. These odds imply a high chance of a stalemate. Based on the stats, our match prediction is a draw, with a secondary possibility of a narrow home victory. A low-scoring affair is expected given both teams' recent form.