Yangpyeong - Busan Transportation Corporation prediction 26 July 2026

Our Yangpyeong vs Busan Transportation Corporation prediction for this K-League 3 match on Jul 26 at 09:00 is that Busan Transportation Corporation are the favorites. Based on the odds, form, and league table, we give the away side a 45% win probability, with the draw at 35% and Yangpyeong at 20%.

Team Form

Yangpyeong's recent form is inconsistent, with results of W, D, L, D, L in their last five matches. Their most recent game was a 5-2 home win against Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors Reserves on Jul 12. Before that, they drew 3-3 away at Chuncheon and lost 1-2 at home to Yeoju Citizen FC. They have managed just one win in this period, struggling for consistency.

Busan Transportation Corporation come into this match in stronger shape, with results of W, L, D, W, D. Their last outing was a 2-0 away win at Siheung Citizen on Jul 11. They also beat Yeoju Citizen FC 2-0 away and drew 1-1 with Pocheon. The only recent defeat was a 0-1 home loss to Daejeon Korail.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last three meetings, Yangpyeong have 1 win, Busan Transportation Corporation have 0 wins, and there have been 2 draws. The most recent clash on Apr 05, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw. Yangpyeong won the previous home fixture 2-0 on Aug 30, 2025, while the match on May 02, 2025, also finished 0-0. The H2H record suggests tight, low-scoring encounters.

League Table Positions

Busan Transportation Corporation sit 4th in the K-League 3 table with 30 points from 17 matches (8 wins, 6 draws, 3 losses). Yangpyeong are 12th with 16 points from 17 matches (3 wins, 7 draws, 7 losses). The 14-point gap highlights the difference in performance this season. Busan Transportation Corporation have a strong away record, ranking 5th with 12 points from 6 away games and remaining unbeaten on the road (3 wins, 3 draws). Yangpyeong's home form is not listed in the top 8, indicating struggles at their own ground.

Win Probability: Yangpyeong or Busan Transportation Corporation?

Based on the available odds and team stats, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Yangpyeong win 20%, draw 35%, Busan Transportation Corporation win 45%. The odds imply a tight contest, but Busan Transportation Corporation's superior league position, unbeaten away record, and better recent form give them a clear edge. Yangpyeong's home advantage is offset by their lowly league standing and inconsistent results. The high probability of a draw reflects the H2H history of two draws in the last three meetings.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the 1X2 market show a close match. The best available odds are: Yangpyeong win at 2.75, draw at 2.05, and Busan Transportation Corporation win at 2.90. The low draw odds indicate the market expects a tight game. Based on the stats, our Yangpyeong vs Busan Transportation Corporation prediction is a low-scoring away win or a draw, with Busan Transportation Corporation more likely to take all three points.