1461 Trabzon - Bursaspor prediction 18 January 2026

The Bursaspor vs 1461 Trabzon prediction for the 2 Lig clash on Jan 18, 2026, at 10:00 UTC points firmly towards the home side. Our analysis gives Bursaspor a 78% win probability, the draw sits at 15%, and 1461 Trabzon has just a 7% chance. Bursaspor’s dominant home form and overall league strength make them the clear favorite.

Team Form

Bursaspor enters this match in scintillating shape. Their last five results show four wins and one draw (W-W-W-D-W). They demolished Somaspor 5-1, edged Ankara Demirspor 1-0 away, beat Mardinspor 2-0 at home, drew 1-1 at Fethiyespor, and cruised past Guzide Gebzespor 2-0. With 87 goals scored and only 19 conceded all season, they combine deadly attack with a rock‑solid defence.

1461 Trabzon, on the other hand, has been inconsistent. Their last five matches yielded two wins and three losses (L-W-L-W-L). Notable results include a 2-1 away victory at Kirklarelispor and a 3-0 win at Adanaspor, but they also suffered a 4-5 home defeat to Menemen Belediyespor and lost 1-3 at home to Isparta 32 Spor Davrazspor. Defensive lapses have plagued their away outings.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last four meetings (prior to this match), Bursaspor and 1461 Trabzon have been evenly matched. Bursaspor won 1-0 at home in August 2025, while 1461 Trabzon claimed a 3-0 home win in November 2023. The two cup encounters in 2018 both ended 1-1. Overall, there has been one win apiece and two draws, highlighting that the tie can be competitive, though current form strongly favours Bursaspor.

League Table Positions

Bursaspor sits 2nd in the overall 2 Lig standings with 80 points from 34 matches (25 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses). At home, they are the best side in the division – top of the home table with 14 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 defeat, scoring 49 goals and conceding just 6. 1461 Trabzon does not appear in the top 12 of the league table, indicating a lower‑placed opponent. The gap in quality and home dominance strongly dictates the match outcome.

Win Probability: Bursaspor or 1461 Trabzon?

Based on the available data – team form, head‑to‑head history, and league table positions – the calculated win probabilities are:

• Bursaspor win: 78%
• Draw: 15%
• 1461 Trabzon win: 7%

Bursaspor’s stellar home record (14-2-1) and recent momentum (4W-1D) underpin the high percentage. 1461 Trabzon’s defensive vulnerabilities and their absence from the top portion of the table reduce their chances significantly. Home advantage and superior class point to a comfortable victory for Bursaspor.

Odds & Match Prediction

No odds are currently available for this fixture, so our verdict is based solely on statistical analysis. Considering Bursaspor’s near‑perfect home record, their average of nearly 2.9 goals per home game, and the visitor’s leaky defence, the smart money is on a Bursaspor win. A clean sheet for the hosts is a realistic expectation.