| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.03 | 3.38 | 4.23 | |
| 1.95 | 2.10 | 4.00 | |
| 1.95 | 2.05 | 4.00 | |
| 1.92 | 2.00 | 4.15 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 27:4 | +23 | 31 | |
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | +10 | 27 | |
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:11 | +5 | 20 | |
| 4 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | +3 | 20 | |
| 5 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:16 | +1 | 19 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 19 | |
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 | |
| 8 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | 17 | |
| 9 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17:13 | +4 | 16 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 15 | |
| 11 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 14 | |
| 12 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 13 | |
| 13 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 13 | |
| 14 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21:25 | -4 | 12 | |
| 15 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 11 | |
| 16 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5:21 | -16 | 3 |
FK Buxoro vs Bunyodkor prediction for the Super League clash on Jul 21, 2026, at 15:00. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head record, FK Buxoro enters as a slight favorite with a 42% win probability, while Bunyodkor holds a 30% chance and the draw sits at 28%.
FK Buxoro's last five matches show two wins and three losses (L, L, W, W, L). Their most recent outing was a 2-1 away defeat to Neftchi on Jul 16. At home, they have been solid, beating Sogdiana 2-1 and losing narrowly 0-1 to Pakhtakor in their last two home fixtures.
Bunyodkor's form reads three wins and two losses in their last five (L, W, W, L, W). They also lost their last match, 1-3 at home to Nasaf Qarshi. On the road, Bunyodkor have been strong, with a 1-0 loss at FK Kokand 1912 their only away defeat in the last five, alongside wins over Jayhun Nukus (4-0) and PFC Terdu (2-1).
The overall head-to-head record heavily favors Bunyodkor: 13 wins to FK Buxoro's 5, with 8 draws. In the last five meetings, Bunyodkor won three times and FK Buxoro twice. The most recent encounter was a Cup match on Aug 27, 2025, where FK Buxoro won 4-2 away. Before that, Bunyodkor won 2-1 in the Super League on Aug 17, 2025, and 1-0 in the Cup on Apr 8, 2025. FK Buxoro's other win came in the Super League on Aug 27, 2023 (2-1 away).
FK Buxoro sits 4th in the Super League with 20 points from 12 matches (6 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses). At home, they are 3rd with 13 points from 6 games (4W, 1D, 1L). Bunyodkor is 6th overall with 19 points (6W, 1D, 5L), but their away form is excellent: 4th in the away table with 13 points from 6 away matches (4W, 1D, 1L). Both teams have identical points from their respective home/away splits, making this a tightly matched contest.
FK Buxoro has a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Bunyodkor has a 30% chance. These probabilities are derived from the bookmaker odds (home 2.04, draw 3.27, away 4.03) after removing the margin, then adjusted for recent form and head-to-head dominance. Bunyodkor's historical edge (13 H2H wins) and strong away record (4 wins in 6) narrow the gap, but FK Buxoro's home advantage and slightly higher league position keep them as the marginal favorite.
Bookmakers see FK Buxoro as the favorite, with average odds around 1.95 for a home win. The draw is priced at 2.10–3.27, and an away win for Bunyodkor at 3.90–4.15. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow FK Buxoro victory, but Bunyodkor's resilience on the road and superior H2H record make the draw and away win realistic alternatives. Our prediction: FK Buxoro to win, but with caution.