Mlawianka Mlawa - Bron Radom prediction 1 May 2026
Mlawianka Mlawa
Bron Radom
Znicz PruszkowMlawianka MlawaLomzaMlawianka MlawaMlawianka MlawaLechia Tomaszow MazowieckiWidzew Lodz IIMlawianka MlawaMlawianka MlawaJagiellonia Bialystok IIWigry SuwalkiMlawianka MlawaMlawianka MlawaBron RadomOlimpia ElblagMlawianka MlawaMlawianka MlawaZnicz Biala PiskaGKS WikielecMlawianka MlawaGKS BelchatowMlawianka MlawaMlawianka MlawaWasilkowSwit Nowy Dwor MazowieckiMlawianka MlawaWisla Plock IIMlawianka MlawaMlawianka MlawaWarta SieradzBron RadomWarta SieradzWasilkowBron RadomBron RadomLegia Warszawa IIZabkovia ZabkiBron RadomBron RadomTroszynMlawianka MlawaBron RadomBron RadomSwit Nowy Dwor MazowieckiBron RadomJagiellonia Bialystok IIZnicz Biala PiskaBron RadomBron RadomLechia Tomaszow MazowieckiWigry SuwalkiBron RadomBron RadomLomzaWidzew Lodz IIBron RadomBron RadomGKS WikielecWisla Plock IIBron RadomMlawianka MlawaBron RadomBron RadomMlawianka MlawaBron RadomMlawianka MlawaMlawianka MlawaBron RadomMlawianka MlawaBron Radom| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Legia Warszawa II | 33 | 26 | 3 | 4 | 79:29 | +50 | 81 |
| 2 |  Lomza | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 75:30 | +45 | 68 |
| 3 |  Warta Sieradz | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 63:34 | +29 | 68 |
| 4 |  Wigry Suwalki | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 61:41 | +20 | 62 |
| 5 |  Troszyn | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 74:45 | +29 | 57 |
| 6 |  Wisla Plock II | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 52:50 | +2 | 53 |
| 7 |  Widzew Lodz II | 33 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 68:63 | +5 | 51 |
| 8 |  Jagiellonia Bialystok II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 46:45 | +1 | 49 |
| 9 |  Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 64:55 | +9 | 46 |
| 10 |  Zabkovia Zabki | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 71:62 | +9 | 44 |
| 11 |  Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 41 |
| 12 | Mlawianka Mlawa | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 54:57 | -3 | 40 |
| 13 |  Olimpia Elblag | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45:61 | -16 | 37 |
| 14 | Bron Radom | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 40:56 | -16 | 36 |
| 15 |  GKS Wikielec | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 38:53 | -15 | 34 |
| 16 |  GKS Belchatow | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 49:72 | -23 | 34 |
| 17 |  Wasilkow | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 40:79 | -39 | 25 |
| 18 |  Znicz Biala Piska | 33 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 27:100 | -73 | 15 |
Bron Radom vs Mlawianka Mlawa Prediction (May 01, 2026)
Our Bron Radom vs Mlawianka Mlawa prediction for the III Liga match on May 01, 2026, points to an away win for Mlawianka Mlawa, with a 55% probability. The match kicks off at 15:00 at Stadion MOSiR Mlawa, and based on head-to-head dominance, league standings, and recent form, the visitors are clear favorites.
Team Form
Bron Radom's last five matches: L, W, L, D, D. They have managed just one win in that run, with two draws and two defeats. The most recent result was a 0-1 home loss to Warta Sieradz on May 30, 2026. Earlier, they beat Wasilkow 4-1 away, but consistency has been a problem.
Mlawianka Mlawa's last five: L, L, W, W, L. Their form is slightly better with two wins, but three losses show vulnerability. The 1-4 friendly defeat at Znicz Pruszkow on July 03, 2026, is the most recent outing, though the competitive 1-2 loss at Lomza on May 30 is more relevant. Earlier, they recorded a 3-1 home win over Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki and a 2-0 away win at Widzew Lodz II.
Head-to-Head Record
In the last five meetings, Mlawianka Mlawa have won four and drawn one. The most recent competitive clash (excluding the current fixture) was on October 10, 2025, when Bron Radom drew 1-1 at home. Before that, Mlawianka won 3-0 away on May 31, 2025, and 2-1 at home on November 09, 2024. The overall record heavily favors the away side.
League Table Positions
Mlawianka Mlawa sit 12th in the III Liga overall standings with 40 points from 33 matches (11 wins, 7 draws, 15 losses). Bron Radom are not in the top 12, indicating a lower position. The table gap reinforces Mlawianka's status as the stronger side on paper.
Win Probability: Bron Radom or Mlawianka Mlawa?
Based on all available data, we calculate the following win probabilities:
- Bron Radom win: 20%
- Draw: 25%
- Mlawianka Mlawa win: 55%
Mlawianka's head-to-head superiority (4 wins in 5), higher league position, and slightly better recent form give them a clear edge. Bron Radom's home advantage is diminished by the venue being in Mlawa, effectively a neutral or away setting. The draw probability reflects Bron Radom's two recent stalemates and the 1-1 H2H result last October.
Odds & Match Prediction
No bookmaker odds are available in the data, but based on the stats, Mlawianka Mlawa are the expected winners. The most likely outcome is an away victory, with a 55% chance. A draw is the next most probable result at 25%, while a Bron Radom win is the least likely scenario. Our final Bron Radom vs Mlawianka Mlawa prediction: Mlawianka Mlawa to win.
Bron Radom vs Mlawianka Mlawa — FAQ
- Who will win Bron Radom vs Mlawianka Mlawa?
- Mlawianka Mlawa are the favorites with a 55% win probability. Bron Radom have a 20% chance, and the draw is at 25%. This is based on Mlawianka's dominant head-to-head record, higher league position, and slightly better recent form.
- What is the win probability for Mlawianka Mlawa?
- Mlawianka Mlawa have a 55% chance to win the match. The calculation considers their four wins in the last five head-to-head meetings, a 12th-place league standing compared to Bron Radom's lower position, and a marginally stronger recent form.
- When is the Bron Radom vs Mlawianka Mlawa match?
- The match is on May 01, 2026, at 15:00 local time. It is a III Liga fixture, the fourth tier of Polish football, and will be played at Stadion MOSiR Mlawa in Mlawa.
- What are the odds for the match?
- No specific odds are available in the provided data. However, based on statistical analysis, Mlawianka Mlawa would be the bookmakers' favorite, with an implied win probability of around 55%.
- What is the head-to-head record between Bron Radom and Mlawianka Mlawa?
- In the last five meetings, Mlawianka Mlawa have won four and drawn one. The most recent result (excluding the current fixture) was a 1-1 draw on October 10, 2025. Bron Radom have never beaten Mlawianka in this period.