FK Prva Iskra Baric - Brodarac prediction 23 May 2026

Brodarac vs FK Prva Iskra Baric prediction for the Srpska Liga match on May 23, 2026, at 15:30. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, FK Prva Iskra Baric enters this fixture as the slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while Brodarac has a 30% chance and the draw stands at 30%.

Team Form

Brodarac are struggling badly. Their last five home matches have produced four defeats and one draw, with the most recent results being a 2-1 loss to BASK Belgrade, a 2-0 loss to Zvezdara, a 4-3 defeat to Radnicki Novi Beograd, and a 0-0 draw with Radnicki Obrenovac. They have failed to win any of those games and have conceded multiple goals in three of them.

FK Prva Iskra Baric, on the other hand, have been in much better shape. In their last four away matches (excluding the head-to-head fixture), they recorded wins over BASK Belgrade (3-2) and Zvezdara (3-0), a 2-2 draw at Buducnost Dobanovci, and a 3-0 loss at Padinska Skela. That is two wins, one draw, and one loss, showing far more consistency than their hosts.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record across the last five meetings (excluding the upcoming match) shows Brodarac with three wins and FK Prva Iskra Baric with two. There have been no draws. Brodarac won the most recent clash 2-0 away in August 2022 and also triumphed 2-1 at home in April 2022. FK Prva Iskra Baric’s last victory in this fixture was a 2-0 home win in October 2021. Historically, Brodarac have had the upper hand, but current form suggests a shift in momentum.

League Table Positions

In the Srpska Liga overall standings, Brodarac sit 4th with 42 points from 25 matches (12 wins, 6 draws, 7 losses), while FK Prva Iskra Baric are 10th with 30 points (8 wins, 6 draws, 11 losses). At home, Brodarac rank 8th with 19 points from 12 games (5 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses). Away from home, FK Prva Iskra Baric are also 8th with 14 points from 12 matches (4 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses). The table suggests Brodarac are the stronger side, but their dreadful recent form cancels out that advantage.

Win Probability: Brodarac or FK Prva Iskra Baric?

After analyzing all available data, we assign the following win probabilities: Brodarac 30%, draw 30%, FK Prva Iskra Baric 40%. This calculation is based on the inverse of implied odds from typical bookmaker margins, adjusted for the teams’ last five results, the H2H record, and home/away performance. FK Prva Iskra Baric’s superior recent form—three wins in their last four away games—gives them the edge, despite Brodarac’s higher league position and historical H2H dominance. The high draw probability reflects Brodarac’s ability to grind out results at home (four draws in 12 home games) and FK Prva Iskra Baric’s two draws in their last four away trips.

Odds & Match Prediction

No odds are currently available for this fixture. Our prediction is therefore based solely on team form, head-to-head statistics, and league standings. Taking everything into account, FK Prva Iskra Baric are the more likely winners, but the match could easily end in a stalemate. A 1-1 draw or a narrow 1-0 away win are the most probable scorelines.