| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 36:20 | +16 | 40 | |
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 38:17 | +21 | 34 | |
| 3 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30:24 | +6 | 31 | |
| 4 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 37:39 | -2 | 31 | |
| 5 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 30 | |
| 6 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 27:24 | +3 | 28 | |
| 7 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27:26 | +1 | 28 | |
| 8 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 24 | |
| 9 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 30:36 | -6 | 23 | |
| 10 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 18:29 | -11 | 19 | |
| 11 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18:34 | -16 | 19 |
The A-League Women match between Brisbane Roar Women and Wellington Phoenix Women was played on May 10, 2026. Our Brisbane Roar Women vs Wellington Phoenix Women prediction, made before kick-off, gave Wellington Phoenix Women a 40% win probability, making them the slight favorites against a resilient Brisbane Roar Women side.
Brisbane Roar Women entered the match with four wins from their last five outings (W, W, W, W, L). Their only recent defeat came away to Wellington Phoenix Women on May 10. Wellington Phoenix Women showed mixed form with two wins, two losses, and a defeat in their last five (L, W, L, L, W), including a 3-1 loss at Melbourne City Women.
The overall head-to-head record between Brisbane Roar Women and Wellington Phoenix Women stands at 5 home wins for Brisbane, 3 draws, and 4 away wins for Wellington. In the last five meetings, Wellington won twice (1-0 and 3-0), Brisbane won twice (both 2-1), and one match ended 2-2. The most recent clash on May 10, 2026, saw Wellington Phoenix Women win 1-0 at home.
In the A-League Women standings, Wellington Phoenix Women sat 2nd with 34 points from 20 matches, while Brisbane Roar Women were 4th with 31 points. Wellington boasted a strong away record (2nd best in the league with 17 points from 10 games), whereas Brisbane’s home form ranked 8th (15 points from 10 home matches).
Based on the available pre-match data, we calculated the win probabilities as follows: Brisbane Roar Women 30%, Draw 30%, Wellington Phoenix Women 40%. This assessment reflects Wellington's superior league position, better away form, and a higher goal difference, balanced by Brisbane's home advantage and recent winning momentum. The visitors were clearly the more likely winner, but the probability of a draw was also significant.
Detailed bookmakers' odds for this fixture were not available in the provided data. Our final match prediction, built on form, head-to-head stats, and league positions, favored Wellington Phoenix Women to win with a 40% chance. A draw (30%) and a Brisbane Roar Women victory (30%) were seen as less likely outcomes.