Brisbane Olympic FC - Brisbane Roar 2 prediction 19 July 2026

Our Brisbane Olympic FC vs Brisbane Roar 2 prediction for the NPL Queensland clash on Jul 19, 2026, at 06:00 UTC points to a home win. Based on odds, head-to-head dominance, and league table positions, Brisbane Olympic FC has a 46% chance of winning, while Brisbane Roar 2 sits at 24% and the draw at 30%.

Team Form

Brisbane Olympic FC come into this match in poor shape. They have lost four of their last five matches (L, L, W, L, L), with the only win coming away at Eastern Suburbs (2-1). Recent defeats include a 3-0 loss at Gold Coast United and a 2-0 loss at Queensland Lions. At home, they lost 3-1 to Peninsula Power.

Brisbane Roar 2 have been slightly more resilient, recording two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five (W, D, L, W, L). They beat Rochedale Rovers 4-1 at home and won 4-1 at Gold Coast United, but lost to Peninsula Power (3-1) and Magic United (2-1). The draw came away at Brisbane City (1-1).

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is heavily one-sided. In 28 meetings, Brisbane Olympic FC have won 23, Brisbane Roar 2 have won just 2, and 3 ended in draws. The most recent encounter on Apr 19, 2026, saw Brisbane Olympic FC thrash Brisbane Roar 2 5-1 away. The last time Brisbane Roar 2 won was back in March 2023 (1-0 at home).

League Table Positions

Brisbane Olympic FC sit 8th in the NPL Queensland table with 20 points from 18 matches (6 wins, 2 draws, 10 losses). Brisbane Roar 2 are 12th with 13 points from 18 matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 13 losses). At home, Olympic have a 4-0-4 record (12 points from 8 games), while Roar 2’s away form is poor: they are not in the top 8 away standings and have only 4 wins all season.

Win Probability: Brisbane Olympic FC or Brisbane Roar 2?

After normalizing bookmaker odds and adjusting for form and H2H, the win probabilities are: Brisbane Olympic FC 46%, draw 30%, Brisbane Roar 2 24%. The odds imply a strong home favorite, and the historical dominance backs that up. However, Olympic’s recent slump and Roar 2’s occasional away win keep the draw and away chances realistic. Overall, Brisbane Olympic FC are the more likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Brisbane Olympic FC as clear favorites. The best available odds are around 1.75 for a home win, 2.68 for the draw, and 3.50 for an away win. Based on the stats, a home victory is the most probable outcome, but the value might be in the draw given Olympic’s shaky form. Our prediction: Brisbane Olympic FC to win, but with caution.