Colon FC Reserve - Boston River Reserves prediction 20 July 2026

Our Colon FC Reserve vs Boston River Reserves prediction for this Primera Division Reserve League match on Jul 20, 2026, at 18:00 gives the home side a slight edge. Based on recent form and bookmaker odds, Colon FC Reserve has a 35% chance of winning, while the draw stands at 35% and Boston River Reserves at 30%.

Team Form

Colon FC Reserve come into this match with a mixed record in their last five outings (W, L, W, D, L). They secured a 2-1 away win at Albion Montevideo Reserves on Jun 29, but fell 0-1 at Defensor Sporting Reserves on Jun 25. A 3-1 victory at Central Espanol Reserve on Jun 22 was followed by a 0-0 draw at Cerro Largo Reserve on Jun 16. Their most recent home game ended in a 0-2 defeat to CA Penarol Montevideo Reservers on Jun 08.

Boston River Reserves are struggling badly, with four defeats and one draw in their last five (L, L, L, L, D). They lost 0-1 at Deportivo Maldonado Reserves on Jun 29, 0-2 at home to Club Oriental de La Paz Reserves on Jun 22, and 0-1 at home to Montevideo City Torque Reserves on Jun 18. A 1-2 loss at Nacional Montevideo Reserves on Jun 15 was followed by a 0-0 draw at CA Progreso Reserves on Jun 08. The away side has scored just one goal in those five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met only once before, in this same competition. On Mar 11, 2026, Boston River Reserves hosted Colon FC Reserve and the match ended in a 2-2 draw. The head-to-head record stands at 0 wins for Colon FC Reserve, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Boston River Reserves.

Win Probability: Colon FC Reserve or Boston River Reserves?

We calculate the win probabilities as: Colon FC Reserve 35%, draw 35%, Boston River Reserves 30%. This is derived from the average bookmaker odds (home 3.04, draw 2.58, away 2.60) after removing the margin, then adjusted for the contrasting form. Colon FC Reserve have two wins in their last five, while Boston River Reserves are winless in that span. The head-to-head draw and home advantage also support a tighter match, but the hosts’ slightly better results give them the edge.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a very open contest. The best available odds across the three listed bookmakers range from 2.78 to 3.25 for a Colon FC Reserve win, 2.20 to 3.25 for the draw, and 2.25 to 2.80 for a Boston River Reserves away victory. The average odds of 3.04, 2.58, and 2.60 imply a close match. Our prediction: based on the stats, Colon FC Reserve are the more likely winners, but a draw is a strong possibility. A low-scoring affair is expected given Boston River Reserves’ recent attacking struggles.