Dordrecht - Borussia Dortmund II prediction 14 July 2026

Welcome to our Borussia Dortmund II vs Dordrecht prediction for the Friendly Clubs match on July 14, 2026. Borussia Dortmund II are the favourites with a 41% win probability, but Dordrecht will look to cause an upset in this pre-season clash.

Team Form

Borussia Dortmund II come into this friendly on the back of a poor run, failing to win any of their last five matches (D2, L3). Their most recent outing was a 1-0 defeat to Vitesse Arnhem on July 11. Before that, they lost 2-0 at SC Wiedenbruck, drew 1-1 at home with Koln II, suffered a heavy 4-0 loss at Schalke 04 II, and drew 1-1 at Bocholt. The team has struggled defensively, conceding 8 goals in those five games while scoring just twice.

Dordrecht's form is slightly better, with two wins and three losses in their last five. They were thrashed 6-0 at home by Feyenoord in a friendly on July 4, but bounced back with a 3-0 home win over Schalke 04 II. In competitive Eerste Divisie matches, they lost 2-1 at home to Willem II, were beaten 4-1 at Almere City, and edged ADO Den Haag 1-0 at home. Dordrecht have shown they can score, netting 5 goals in their last five, but defensive frailties remain.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous meeting between Borussia Dortmund II and Dordrecht. This will be the first-ever clash between the German and Dutch sides, so no head-to-head trends can be used for this prediction.

Win Probability: Borussia Dortmund II or Dordrecht?

Based on the latest odds and team form, we have calculated the following win probabilities for this Friendly Clubs match:

• Borussia Dortmund II win: 41%
• Draw: 34%
• Dordrecht win: 25%

The bookmakers' odds imply a clear home advantage, with Borussia Dortmund II priced as favourites. However, their recent form (no wins in five) tempers that confidence. Dordrecht have managed two victories in the same period, but both came at home. The draw probability is relatively high, reflecting the unpredictable nature of pre-season friendlies and the lack of H2H data. Overall, Borussia Dortmund II are the more likely winners, but the match could easily end level.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have set the following odds for the 1X2 market (average from multiple sources): a home win is priced between 1.85 and 2.20, a draw between 2.32 and 2.66, and an away win between 3.00 and 3.50. These odds suggest that Borussia Dortmund II are the favourites, but the draw is also considered a strong possibility.

Our prediction: Based on the stats, Borussia Dortmund II have the edge, but their lack of wins and Dordrecht's occasional bright moments point to a tight contest. A low-scoring draw or a narrow home win are the most likely outcomes. We lean towards a Borussia Dortmund II victory, but with caution.