| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 16 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12:6 | +6 | 15 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:5 | +9 | 15 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:8 | +1 | 12 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | +2 | 11 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 | |
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 9 | |
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 | |
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 6 | |
| 11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 | |
| 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7:13 | -6 | 3 |
The Campeonato Carioca Serie A2 match between Bonsucesso RJ and Serrano RJ takes place on May 09 at 18:00. Based on recent form, head-to-head record and home advantage, Bonsucesso RJ enters this contest with a 40% win probability, making them narrow favourites despite Serrano RJ's strong away record in the league table.
Bonsucesso RJ have posted mixed results in their last five matches, recording two wins, two defeats and one draw (W, W, L, L, D). At home this season they have claimed six points from three games, winning twice and losing once. Their last home appearance ended in a 0‑1 loss to Resende RJ.
Serrano RJ come into this fixture without a win in five outings (L, D, D, D, L). Despite that poor recent run, their away form earlier in the season was impressive — they sit top of the league's away table with two wins, one draw and one loss from four trips, scoring seven goals and conceding six.
The head‑to‑head history favours Serrano RJ. Across four previous meetings, Bonsucesso RJ have never won, with Serrano claiming two victories and two draws. The most recent clash, hosted by Serrano, ended goalless, while the only previous meeting at Bonsucesso’s ground finished 0‑0. This suggests tight contests, but Serrano have historically found a way to avoid defeat.
In the overall Campeonato Carioca Serie A2 standings, Serrano RJ hold a slight edge. They sit 8th with 9 points from 7 matches (2 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), while Bonsucesso RJ are 9th with 8 points (2 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). Bonsucesso’s home record ranks them 8th, whereas Serrano are the best away side in the division. The table confirms both teams are closely matched, with just one point separating them.
After evaluating all available data — home advantage, current form, head‑to‑head record and league positions — we calculate the following outcome probabilities:
Bonsucesso’s home form and Serrano’s five‑match winless streak tip the balance slightly toward the home side. However, Serrano’s historical success in this fixture and their status as the league’s best away team mean a draw is a very realistic result.
Specific bookmaker odds for this fixture are not available in the supplied data. Nevertheless, based on the statistical analysis above, Bonsucesso RJ are the marginal favourites. A low‑scoring encounter appears likely — three of the four H2H meetings produced under 1.5 goals. The safest prediction is for Bonsucesso to avoid defeat, with a draw being the most probable single outcome.