The Bodo/Glimt vs Sporting Lisbon prediction for this UEFA Champions League fixture on March 17, 2026, at 17:45 UTC strongly favors the home side. Our win probability model gives Bodo/Glimt a 55% chance to win, with a draw at 25% and a Sporting Lisbon victory at just 20%.
Team Form
Bodo/Glimt come into the match with an impressive recent record of W-D-W-W-W. Their last five results:
- Molde 1–4 Bodo/Glimt (Friendly Clubs, Jun 28)
- Rosenborg 2–2 Bodo/Glimt (Eliteserien, May 29)
- Bodo/Glimt 3–1 Brann (Eliteserien, May 24)
- IK Start 1–4 Bodo/Glimt (Eliteserien, May 20)
- Bodo/Glimt 5–0 Tromso (Eliteserien, May 16)
Sporting Lisbon’s form line reads D-W-W-W-D, also solid but with two draws mixed in:
- Sporting Lisbon 1–1 SCU Torreense (Cup, May 24)
- Sporting Lisbon 3–0 Gil Vicente (Primeira Liga, May 16)
- Rio Ave 1–4 Sporting Lisbon (Primeira Liga, May 11)
- Sporting Lisbon 5–1 Vitoria Guimaraes (Primeira Liga, May 04)
- Sporting Lisbon 2–2 Tondela (Primeira Liga, Apr 29)
Head-to-Head Record
These sides have met once before, in the first leg of this Champions League tie on March 11, 2026. Bodo/Glimt won that match 3-0 at home, giving them a clear edge in the head-to-head history.
Win Probability: Bodo/Glimt or Sporting Lisbon?
Considering the home advantage, Bodo/Glimt’s stronger recent form (four wins in five, plus a draw) and the 3-0 victory in the only previous H2H, the probability breakdown is as follows:
Bodo/Glimt win: 55%
Draw: 25%
Sporting Lisbon win: 20%
Bodo/Glimt’s attacking numbers at home and their psychological edge from the first leg make them the likeliest winner. Sporting Lisbon’s chances are not to be dismissed entirely, but a draw is the most realistic alternative outcome.
Odds & Match Prediction
No bookmaker odds are available in the supplied data for this match. Based on the stats, Bodo/Glimt are expected to be clear favorites when the markets open. A bet on Bodo/Glimt to win would be the straightforward pick, while the draw offers some value given Sporting’s defensive resilience in recent away games. Our final Bodo/Glimt vs Sporting Lisbon prediction is a home win, with a high probability of at least two total goals.
Bodo/Glimt vs Sporting Lisbon — FAQ
- Who will win Bodo/Glimt vs Sporting Lisbon?
- Bodo/Glimt has a 55% chance to win, a draw stands at 25%, and Sporting Lisbon has a 20% probability. According to the model, Bodo/Glimt are the favorites to win this UEFA Champions League match.
- What is the win probability for Bodo/Glimt?
- Bodo/Glimt’s win probability is estimated at 55%. This is based on their excellent recent form (4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches) and a 3-0 victory over Sporting Lisbon in the only previous meeting.
- When is the Bodo/Glimt vs Sporting Lisbon match?
- The match is scheduled for March 17, 2026, with kick-off at 17:45 UTC. It is a UEFA Champions League fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds are not yet available in our data for this fixture. Based on the win probability, Bodo/Glimt would be expected to open as the favorites.
- What is the head-to-head record between Bodo/Glimt and Sporting Lisbon?
- The teams have played once, on March 11, 2026, in the Champions League. Bodo/Glimt won that match 3-0 at home, so they lead the head-to-head 1-0.