RKSV UDI 1919 - Blauw Geel '38 prediction 14 March 2026

The Blauw Geel '38 vs RKSV UDI 1919 prediction for this 3 Derde Divisie match on Mar 14, 2026 at 17:00 points to a tight contest with the home side holding a slight edge. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, Blauw Geel '38 enters as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while the draw sits at 30% and an away win for RKSV UDI 1919 at 25%.

Team Form

Blauw Geel '38's last five matches show a mixed bag: L, L, L, D, W. They ended a poor run with a 4-0 home win over GOES on Apr 12, but suffered defeats to Zwaluwen (0-3), RBC Roosendaal (1-2), and UNA (0-2), plus a goalless draw at Rijnvogels. That's one win, one draw, and three losses, indicating some vulnerability.

RKSV UDI 1919 are in even worse shape, with form reading L, L, L, L, D. Their last five outings include a 3-4 loss at RBC Roosendaal, a 0-4 home thrashing by GOES, a 1-5 defeat at VVSB Noordwijkerhout, a 2-3 home loss to Meerssen, and a 1-1 draw with Scheveningen. No wins and just one draw from five games highlights serious struggles at both ends.

Head-to-Head Record

Excluding the reverse fixture earlier this season, the last three meetings between these sides give Blauw Geel '38 a 2-1 advantage. On Oct 11, 2025, RKSV UDI 1919 won 1-0 at Blauw Geel '38. Before that, Blauw Geel '38 won 1-0 at home in January 2023 and triumphed 2-1 away in September 2022. There have been no draws in those encounters, and the home team won two of the three matches.

League Table Positions

Neither Blauw Geel '38 nor RKSV UDI 1919 feature in the top eight of the 3 Derde Divisie standings, suggesting both are mid-table or lower. Without exact positions, the gap between them is likely small, but the home side's marginally better form and H2H record give them a slight upper hand in this fixture.

Win Probability: Blauw Geel '38 or RKSV UDI 1919?

After analyzing all available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Blauw Geel '38 45%, draw 30%, RKSV UDI 1919 25%. The home team gets the nod due to a slightly better recent run (one win in five vs. none for the visitors), a positive H2H record (2 wins in the last 3), and the advantage of playing at home. However, both teams are in poor form, so a draw is a realistic outcome. RKSV UDI 1919's away form is particularly weak, with four losses and a draw in their last five on the road, which reduces their chances.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are available in the data for this match. Based purely on the stats, Blauw Geel '38 are the more likely winners. The prediction is a home victory, possibly by a narrow margin, given the low-scoring trend in recent H2H meetings. A 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline in favor of Blauw Geel '38 looks plausible.