Balatonlelle SE - BFC Siofok prediction 1 March 2026

BFC Siofok vs Balatonlelle SE prediction for the NB III match in Hungary on March 1, 2026. Based on recent form and home advantage, BFC Siofok are the clear favorites with a 55% win probability, while Balatonlelle SE hold just a 15% chance of causing an upset. The draw is priced at a realistic 30% given the limited head-to-head history.

Team Form

BFC Siofok's last five matches show a mixed but positive trend: two wins, two draws and one defeat. They drew 1-1 at home to PTE-PEAC on May 24, lost 1-2 to Erdi VSE on May 10, beat Paksi SE II 3-1 away on May 3, defeated Penzugyor 2-0 at home on April 26, and drew 1-1 away to Ferencvaros II on April 19. With eight points from those five games, the hosts are difficult to beat on their own ground.

Balatonlelle SE's recent form is extremely poor. Their last five outings produced four losses and just one draw. They lost 1-3 at home to Ivancsa on May 24, drew 1-1 away to PTE-PEAC on May 17, lost 2-3 away to Erdi VSE on May 2, lost 0-2 away to Penzugyor on April 19, and were beaten 0-3 at home by Pecsi MFC on March 29. A single point from a possible 15 underlines a team struggling at both ends.

Head-to-Head Record

There is only one previous encounter between these sides. That match, which was the reverse of this fixture, finished in a 1-1 draw. With zero wins for either side and one shared point, the head-to-head record offers little to separate the two, but it does suggest a tight contest cannot be ruled out.

League Table Positions

The provided standings do not include BFC Siofok or Balatonlelle SE, so their exact league positions are not available. However, the stark contrast in recent results points firmly toward the home side being the stronger of the two.

Win Probability: BFC Siofok or Balatonlelle SE?

After analyzing the available data, we assign the following outcome probabilities: BFC Siofok to win – 55%, a draw – 30%, Balatonlelle SE to win – 15%. The home side's superior form (two wins, two draws in their last five) and the visitors' dreadful run (four losses in five) heavily tilt the balance. Home advantage in NB III further boosts Siofok's chances. The single prior 1-1 draw keeps the draw probability at a significant 30%. Balatonlelle's low chance reflects their inability to score or defend consistently on the road.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds are not available for this fixture. Based on the stats, BFC Siofok are the logical pick to win. The home team's solid performances against similar mid-table opponents and Balatonlelle's struggles on their travels make a home victory the most likely outcome. A low-scoring match could also be on the cards, with a 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline plausible.