Merthyr Town - Bedford Town prediction 14 February 2026
Merthyr Town
Bedford TownMerthyr Town
Yeovil TownMerthyr TownCambrian UnitedMerthyr TownAFC FyldeScarborough AthleticMerthyr TownMarineMerthyr TownMerthyr TownMacclesfield TownHereford UnitedMerthyr TownMerthyr TownOxford CitySouth ShieldsMerthyr TownMerthyr TownSpennymoor Town FCMerthyr TownChesterRadcliffe BoroughMerthyr TownMerthyr TownBuxtonLeamingtonMerthyr TownAlfreton TownMerthyr TownBedford TownBerkhamstedBedford TownAldershot TownBedford TownScarborough AthleticSouth ShieldsBedford TownBedford TownHereford UnitedKings LynnBedford TownBedford TownLeamingtonAFC Telford UnitedBedford TownBuxtonBedford TownBedford TownRadcliffe BoroughBedford TownWorksop TownSpennymoor Town FCBedford TownDarlingtonBedford TownBedford TownPeterborough SportsBedford TownChorleyMerthyr TownBedford TownBedford TownMerthyr Town| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | +61 | 100 |
| 2 |  South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | +56 | 95 |
| 3 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | +23 | 87 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield Town | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | +13 | 79 |
| 5 |  Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | +22 | 73 |
| 6 |  Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | +9 | 73 |
| 7 |  Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | +2 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | +9 | 70 |
| 9 |  Darlington | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | +10 | 69 |
| 10 |  Spennymoor Town FC | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | -7 | 68 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | +20 | 65 |
| 12 |  Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | -10 | 62 |
| 13 |  Radcliffe Borough | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | -7 | 60 |
| 14 |  Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | -7 | 60 |
| 15 |  Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | +1 | 57 |
| 16 |  Worksop Town | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | -8 | 57 |
| 17 |  Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | -5 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford Town | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | -11 | 53 |
| 19 |  Kings Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | -8 | 52 |
| 20 |  Hereford United | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | -15 | 52 |
| 21 |  Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | -21 | 52 |
| 22 |  Alfreton Town | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | -33 | 50 |
| 23 |  Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | -45 | 39 |
| 24 |  Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | -49 | 29 |
Bedford Town vs Merthyr Town Prediction (Feb 14)
The Bedford Town vs Merthyr Town prediction looks at the National League North clash on February 14, 2026. Our analysis gives Merthyr Town a 55% win probability, with Bedford Town at 20% and the draw at 25%. Read on for detailed betting tips and match insight.
Team Form
Bedford Town enter this fixture in a steady run, recording one win and four draws in their last five outings (W,D,D,D,D). They drew 0-0 at home to Aldershot Town in a friendly and shared the spoils in league draws against Scarborough Athletic (1-1) and South Shields (1-1). Their most recent league match ended 2-2 at home to Hereford United.
Merthyr Town show a more mixed recent form with two wins and three losses (W,L,L,W,L). They suffered a 4-2 home defeat to AFC Fylde and lost 2-1 at Scarborough Athletic, but picked up a 3-1 away win at Marine. A friendly victory over Cambrian United (4-2) gave them a confidence boost.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record strongly favours Merthyr Town, who have won both previous meetings. In the most recent encounter, they secured a dominant 7-1 home win. Earlier in the season, Merthyr Town won 4-3 at Bedford Town. The full H2H stands at 0 wins for Bedford Town, 0 draws, and 2 wins for Merthyr Town.
League Table Positions
In the National League North, Merthyr Town are 8th with 70 points from 46 games, scoring 95 goals and conceding 86. Their away form places them 5th in the away table, with 12 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses from 23 away contests. Bedford Town are outside the top 12 overall, occupying a lower position in the standings.
Win Probability: Bedford Town or Merthyr Town?
Our win probability model gives Merthyr Town a 55% chance of victory, the draw a 25% chance, and Bedford Town a 20% chance. This is derived from league table gaps, Merthyr’s perfect head-to-head record, and their strong away performances. Despite Bedford’s recent run of draws, the visitors enter as clear favourites.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers’ odds are not currently available for this match. Based on the available statistics, our Bedford Town vs Merthyr Town prediction backs an away win. Merthyr Town’s higher standing and H2H dominance point to a likely victory for the visitors.
Bedford Town vs Merthyr Town — FAQ
- Who will win Bedford Town vs Merthyr Town?
- Our analysis gives Merthyr Town a 55% win probability, Bedford Town a 20% chance, and the draw a 25% likelihood. Merthyr Town are favourites due to a higher league position and a perfect head-to-head record.
- What is the win probability for Merthyr Town?
- Merthyr Town have a 55% chance of winning this match, calculated from their 5th-best away record in the league and two wins from two previous meetings against Bedford Town.
- When is the Bedford Town vs Merthyr Town match?
- The match is on February 14, 2026, kicking off at 15:00. It is part of the National League North in England.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers’ odds are not yet available for this fixture. As soon as prices are released, we will provide updates.