BEC Police Tero Sasana - Mahasarakham United prediction 8 March 2026

The BEC Police Tero Sasana vs Mahasarakham United prediction for the Division 2 match on March 8, 2026, points to a home win. BEC Police Tero Sasana is the favorite with a 55% win probability, while Mahasarakham United has just a 20% chance. Read on for detailed betting tips, team form, and head-to-head analysis.

Team Form

BEC Police Tero Sasana's recent form has been mixed, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. They secured home victories against Nong Bua Pitchaya (2-1) and Phrae United (3-1), drew 1-1 away at Chanthaburi, but suffered away defeats to Nong Bua Pitchaya (1-3) and Chainat FC (1-2). At home, they have been strong, losing only twice in 17 league games this season, scoring 28 goals and conceding just 14.

Mahasarakham United are in poor form, with just one draw and four losses in their last five outings. They managed a 2-2 home draw against KhonKaen United but were beaten heavily by Rasi Salai United (0-3), Nakhon Pathom (0-2), Trat (0-2), and BG Pathum United FC (0-3). Their away record is particularly concerning, with no wins in the last five road trips and only 19 goals scored in 17 away matches all season.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last three meetings between these sides, the record is evenly balanced with one win each and one draw. BEC Police Tero Sasana won 3-2 away on November 22, 2025, while Mahasarakham United claimed a 2-1 home victory on November 30, 2024. The other match, on March 29, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw. The head-to-head suggests a close contest, but current form heavily favors the home side.

League Table Positions

BEC Police Tero Sasana finished the season 5th in the Division 2 table with 53 points from 34 matches (15 wins, 8 draws, 11 losses, 50 goals scored, 44 conceded). Mahasarakham United ended 8th with 45 points (12 wins, 9 draws, 13 losses, 47 goals scored, 42 conceded). The home team's record at their own ground was impressive: 10 wins, 5 draws, and only 2 defeats, ranking 4th in the home standings. Meanwhile, Mahasarakham United's away form yielded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, placing them 6th in the away table. The gap in home/away performance is a key factor in this prediction.

Win Probability: BEC Police Tero Sasana or Mahasarakham United?

Based on the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: BEC Police Tero Sasana has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Mahasarakham United has a 20% chance. This assessment considers BEC Police Tero Sasana's strong home form (10 wins in 17 home games), Mahasarakham United's dreadful recent away results (one draw and four losses in their last five), and the overall league table gap. Although the head-to-head record is balanced, the home advantage and current momentum make BEC Police Tero Sasana the clear favorite to win.

BEC Police Tero Sasana vs Mahasarakham United Prediction & Odds

Odds for this match are not available in the provided data. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely set BEC Police Tero Sasana as the favorite. Our prediction is a home win for BEC Police Tero Sasana, given their superior form and home record. A draw is a possible outcome, but Mahasarakham United's poor attacking form on the road makes an away victory unlikely.