KhonKaen United - BEC Police Tero Sasana prediction 21 February 2026

The BEC Police Tero Sasana vs KhonKaen United prediction for the Division 2 match on February 21, 2026, points to a home win. BEC Police Tero Sasana has a 50% probability of victory, while the draw is at 28% and KhonKaen United at 22%. The match kicks off at 11:30 at the home ground of BEC Police Tero Sasana.

Team Form

BEC Police Tero Sasana come into this match with a mixed recent record: L, W, D, W, L in their last five outings. They lost 3-1 away to Nong Bua Pitchaya on May 09, beat the same opponent 2-1 at home on May 03, drew 1-1 at Chanthaburi on Apr 25, defeated Phrae United 3-1 at home on Apr 18, and lost 2-1 at Chainat FC on Apr 05. At home, they have been strong, winning three of their last five matches at this venue.

KhonKaen United's last five results read D, W, L, W, L. They drew 2-2 at Mahasarakham United on Apr 25, beat Kasetsart University 1-0 at home on Apr 19, lost 4-2 at Nong Bua Pitchaya on Apr 05, won 2-1 at home against Chiangmai United on Mar 21, and suffered a heavy 7-0 defeat at Thai Port Bangkok FC in the League Cup on Mar 18. Their away form has been a concern, with only one win in their last five road trips across all competitions.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last four meetings between these sides (excluding the current match), BEC Police Tero Sasana have won twice, KhonKaen United once, and one match ended in a draw. At this stadium, BEC Police Tero Sasana have hosted KhonKaen United three times, winning 2-1 in October 2025 and 3-0 in April 2023, but losing 1-3 in October 2023. The overall H2H record shows a balanced rivalry, but the home team has often had the edge.

League Table Positions

BEC Police Tero Sasana sit 5th in the Division 2 table with 53 points from 34 matches (15 wins, 8 draws, 11 losses). KhonKaen United are 7th with 45 points (11 wins, 12 draws, 11 losses). The home table highlights BEC Police Tero Sasana's strength: they are 4th with 35 points from 17 home games (10 wins, 5 draws, only 2 defeats). KhonKaen United's away form is poor – they are not in the top 8 of the away standings, having managed just 1 win, 8 draws, and 8 losses on the road all season.

Win Probability: BEC Police Tero Sasana or KhonKaen United?

Based on the available data, we calculate the following win probabilities: BEC Police Tero Sasana 50%, draw 28%, KhonKaen United 22%. The home side's strong record at this ground (10W-5D-2L) and KhonKaen United's struggles away (1W-8D-8L) heavily influence the numbers. The head-to-head record at this venue also favours the hosts. While recent form is similar, the league table gap and home advantage make BEC Police Tero Sasana the clear favourite to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are not available. However, based on the stats, BEC Police Tero Sasana are the expected winners. A home victory is the most likely outcome, with a low-scoring match possible given both teams' recent defensive records. Our prediction: BEC Police Tero Sasana to win.