Real Union de Irun - Beasain prediction 8 March 2026

Beasain vs Real Union de Irun prediction for the Segunda Federacion match on Mar 08, 2026. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Real Union de Irun is the slight favorite with a 40% win probability. Beasain has a 30% chance, while the draw is at 30%.

Team Form

Beasain's last five matches: W, L, D, L, D. They secured a 3-2 home win over RZ Deportivo Aragon, then lost 0-1 away to Naxara, drew 1-1 at home with UD Logrones, lost 0-1 away to Ebro, and drew 1-1 away at Sestao River. The team has struggled for consistency, with only one win in that run.

Real Union de Irun's last five: W, L, D, L, W. They beat Alfaro 2-0 at home, lost 1-3 away to RZ Deportivo Aragon, drew 3-3 at home with Amorebieta, lost 2-3 away to Ejea, and beat Naxara 3-0 at home. Two wins and a high-scoring draw show attacking potential, but defensive lapses have cost them.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met twice in the Segunda Federacion. On Sep 27, 2025, Beasain drew 1-1 at home with Real Union de Irun. The most recent meeting on Mar 08, 2026, saw Real Union de Irun win 4-0 at home. Overall, Real Union de Irun leads the head-to-head with one win and one draw; Beasain is yet to win.

Win Probability: Beasain or Real Union de Irun?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Beasain 30%, Draw 30%, Real Union de Irun 40%. This assessment is based on team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage. Beasain's home factor is offset by Real Union's superior recent results and the 4-0 victory in their last encounter. The draw probability is elevated due to both teams' inconsistent form and the 1-1 draw in the earlier fixture.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match are not currently available. Based on the statistical analysis, Real Union de Irun is the more likely winner, but a draw is a realistic outcome. Our prediction: an away win or draw, with Real Union de Irun having the edge.