Bari - S.S.D. Casarano Calcio prediction 4 August 2025

Our Bari vs S.S.D. Casarano Calcio prediction for the Aug 04, 2025 Friendly Clubs match sees Bari as the likely winner with a 45% chance. The draw probability is 30%, while Casarano has a 25% chance to cause an upset. Below we break down the key stats, form, and head-to-head record.

Team Form

Bari come into this friendly on the back of a mixed run in Serie B. Their last five results read: D, D, W, W, L. The two wins came against Catanzaro (3-2 away) and Virtus Entella (2-0 home), showing they can score and keep clean sheets. The two draws were both 0-0 against Sudtirol, while the defeat was a 0-2 loss at US Avellino. Bari’s form graph is slightly positive with 8 points from a possible 15.

S.S.D. Casarano Calcio compete in Serie C and their recent form is D, L, W, L, W. The away wins at Renate (3-0) and Cosenza (5-1) highlight their attacking threat, but home losses to Brescia (0-3) and Renate (0-2) suggest defensive fragility. They collected 7 points from the last five outings, making them just a shade less consistent than Bari.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous head-to-head record between Bari and S.S.D. Casarano Calcio. This will be the first ever meeting between the two clubs, adding an element of unpredictability to the Friendly Clubs clash.

Win Probability: Bari or Casarano?

Based on the available data, we calculate the win probability as follows:

• Bari win: 45%
• Draw: 30%
• S.S.D. Casarano Calcio win: 25%

Bari are the clear favorites because they operate at a higher level (Serie B vs Serie C) and enjoy home advantage. Their recent points-per-game rate is slightly better, and they have shown they can grind out draws against solid opposition. Casarano’s away form, however, cannot be ignored — they have scored 8 goals in their last two away matches. The 30% draw probability reflects the friendly nature of the fixture and the possibility of both teams cancelling each other out.

In short, Bari is the more likely winner, but the match is far from a foregone conclusion.

Odds & Match Prediction

At the time of writing, bookmakers have not yet released odds for this friendly match. Once the markets open, expect Bari to be priced as the favorite. Our Bari vs S.S.D. Casarano Calcio prediction is a home win, but with both teams capable of scoring, the over 2.5 goals market also looks attractive. Casarano’s recent high-scoring away performances suggest a 2-1 or 1-1 scoreline could be on the cards. As always, bet responsibly and wait for the official odds before placing any wagers.