Bare - Progresso RR prediction 14 March 2026
Bare
Progresso RRGremio Atletico Sampaio RRBareGremio Atletico Sampaio RRBareBareProgresso RRRio Negro RRBareBareSao Raimundo RRBareRiver RoraimaBareMadureira RJNautico RRBareBareAtletico Roraima RRMonte Roraima RRBareBareMonte Roraima RRProgresso RRBareBareSao Raimundo RRBareNautico RRMonte Roraima RRBareNautico RRProgresso RRBareProgresso RRAtletico Roraima RRProgresso RRProgresso RRRiver RoraimaProgresso RRRio Negro RRProgresso RRGremio Atletico Sampaio RRProgresso RRMonte Roraima RRSao Raimundo RRProgresso RRProgresso RRBareProgresso RRMonte Roraima RRProgresso RRAtletico Roraima RRSao Raimundo RRProgresso RRNautico RRProgresso RRRio Negro RRProgresso RRProgresso RRGremio Atletico Sampaio RRBareProgresso RRProgresso RRBare| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sao Raimundo RR | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 28:5 | +23 | 20 |
| 2 |  Monte Roraima RR | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18:8 | +10 | 18 |
| 3 |  Gremio Atletico Sampaio RR | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:8 | +13 | 17 |
| 4 |  River Roraima | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:8 | +14 | 15 |
| 5 | Bare | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17:7 | +10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Rio Negro RR | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 |
| 7 |  SCD Progresso Calcio | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:25 | -17 | 6 |
| 8 |  Nautico RR | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
| 9 |  Atletico Roraima RR | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:34 | -29 | 1 |
Bare vs Progresso RR Prediction (Mar 14, 2026)
Our Bare vs Progresso RR prediction for this Campeonato Roraimense fixture sees Bare as the favorite with a 60% win probability. The match kicks off on March 14, 2026, at 21:30 local time, and all key stats point towards a home victory. Below we break down team form, head-to-head record, league standings, and the latest odds to give you a complete match analysis.
Team Form
Bare enter the match on a mixed run. They fell 1-2 at home to Sao Raimundo RR on March 7 but responded strongly with a 4-1 away victory at Rio Negro RR on March 11. Those two results show resilience, and with 17 goals scored and only 7 conceded in 8 matches this season (goal difference +10), they have one of the tighter defenses in the league.
Progresso RR have also had an up-and-down spell. A crushing 0-7 home loss to River Roraima on March 6 was followed by a 4-1 away win at Atletico Roraima RR on March 11. However, their overall defensive record is a major concern: 25 goals conceded in 8 games leaves them with a -17 goal difference, the second-worst in the division.
Head-to-Head Record
The only previous meeting between these sides came on March 26, 2025, when Bare demolished Progresso RR 7-0 away. That dominant display gives Bare a clear psychological edge and highlights the historical gulf in quality.
League Table Positions
Bare sit 5th in the Campeonato Roraimense with 15 points from 8 matches (5 wins, 0 draws, 3 defeats). At home they have been particularly strong, winning 3 of 4 with 10 goals scored and just 3 conceded.
Progresso RR (listed as SCD Progresso Calcio in the league table) are 7th with only 6 points (2 wins, 6 defeats). Their away record is poor: 1 win and 3 losses, with a goal difference of 4–12. The gap in consistency and defensive solidity is stark.
Win Probability: Bare or Progresso RR?
Combining the pre-match data — form, head-to-head record, league standings, and home/away factors — we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows:
- Bare win: 60%
- Draw: 25%
- Progresso RR win: 15%
Bare’s home fortress, dominant H2H history, and much stronger league position make them the clear favourites. Progresso RR’s away frailty and leaky defence make an upset extremely unlikely. A draw remains a realistic possibility given both sides’ recent inconsistencies, but the numbers strongly favour a home win.
Odds & Match Prediction
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Based on the stats, Bare would be short-priced favourites. A home win to nil could be an interesting market to explore, given Bare’s excellent home goals-against record (just 3 in 4 games) and Progresso’s travel struggles. Our prediction: a home victory for Bare. Always gamble responsibly.
Bare vs Progresso RR — FAQ
- Who will win Bare vs Progresso RR?
- Bare have a 60% chance to win, compared to 25% for a draw and 15% for Progresso RR. Home advantage, a superior league position, and a dominant head-to-head record all point to a Bare victory.
- What is the win probability for Bare?
- Bare have a 60% win probability. This estimate is based on their strong home form (3 wins in 4 games), their only previous meeting ending 7-0 in their favour, and their higher position in the Campeonato Roraimense table.
- When is the Bare vs Progresso RR match?
- The Campeonato Roraimense match between Bare and Progresso RR is on March 14, 2026, at 21:30 local time. It is part of the 2026 Brazilian state championship season.
- What are the odds for Bare vs Progresso RR?
- Currently no odds are available from bookmakers for this event. Based on form and team strength, Bare would be considered heavy favourites if markets were listed.
- What is the head-to-head record between Bare and Progresso RR?
- These teams have met only once before, on March 26, 2025, when Bare won 7-0 away. Bare lead the head-to-head with 1 victory and no defeats.