Bandari - Nairobi United prediction 25 February 2026

Bandari vs Nairobi United prediction for the Kenyan Premier League clash on February 25, 2026. According to our analysis, Nairobi United has a 35% chance to win, while the draw is at 35%, and Bandari sits at 30%. Read on for full betting tips and team stats.

Team Form

Bandari's last five matches: W, L, W, L, D (2W, 1D, 2L). They won 2-0 against Kenya Commercial Bank in the Cup, lost 1-0 to Mathare United, beat Tusker 1-0, lost 2-0 at home to Aps Bomet FC, and drew 0-0 with Kenya Police FC. Their form is inconsistent, with two clean sheets but also two defeats.

Nairobi United's recent five: W, D, D, L, W (2W, 2D, 1L). They won 1-0 at Gor Mahia, drew 0-0 with Kenya Police FC, drew 2-2 with Posta Rangers, lost 2-0 at Kariobangi Sharks, and beat Tusker 1-0. They have been solid defensively, with two clean sheets in those five games.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice before. Nairobi United won 3-1 at home on November 4, 2025, and the return fixture at Bandari on February 25, 2026, ended 1-1. So Nairobi United hold a slight edge with one win and one draw.

League Table Positions

Bandari are 9th in the Premier League table with 44 points from 33 matches (9W, 17D, 7L). They have scored 26 goals and conceded 25. At home, they rank 4th with 28 points from 17 games (7W, 7D, 3L, 16 goals scored, 11 against).

Nairobi United are 5th with 50 points from 33 matches (13W, 11D, 9L, 43 goals for, 34 against). Away from home, they are 4th with 28 points from 16 games (8W, 4D, 4L, 19 goals scored, 13 conceded). Nairobi United are six points ahead in the standings and have a stronger away record than Bandari's home record in terms of points per game.

Win Probability: Bandari or Nairobi United?

Based on form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we assign the following win probabilities:

• Bandari win: 30%
• Draw: 35%
• Nairobi United win: 35%

Bandari's home advantage is significant – they have lost only three of 17 home matches – but Nairobi United have a slightly better overall record, a positive head-to-head, and a marginally better recent form. The draw is a strong possibility, as both teams are defensively sound and the last meeting here ended 1-1.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds market is set to 1X2, but specific odds are not currently available. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a draw, with a 35% probability, closely followed by an away win for Nairobi United. A home win for Bandari is the least likely outcome at 30%.

Final prediction: The match is expected to be tight, with a draw the most probable result. For betting tips, consider the draw or a double chance on Nairobi United or draw.