Atletico Alagoinhas BA - Bahia BA prediction 21 February 2026
Atletico Alagoinhas BA
Bahia BAAtletico Alagoinhas BA
CS Alagoano ALJuazeirense BAAtletico Alagoinhas BACS Esportiva ALAtletico Alagoinhas BAAtletico Alagoinhas BAJacuipense BAAS Arapiraquense ALAtletico Alagoinhas BAAtletico Alagoinhas BAAS Arapiraquense ALJacuipense BAAtletico Alagoinhas BAAtletico Alagoinhas BACS Esportiva ALAtletico Alagoinhas BAJuazeirense BACS Alagoano ALAtletico Alagoinhas BAFluminense de Feira BAAtletico Alagoinhas BASao Bernardo SPAtletico Alagoinhas BAAtletico Alagoinhas BABahia BAAtletico Alagoinhas BAPorto SC BAJacuipense BAAtletico Alagoinhas BABahia BAChapecoense SCFluminense RJBahia BABahia BAMontevideo City TorqueBahia BABotafogo RJCoritiba PRBahia BABahia BAGremio RSRemo PABahia BABahia BACruzeiro MGSao Paulo SPBahia BABahia BASantos SPBahia BARemo PAFlamengo RJBahia BAMirassol SPBahia BABahia BAPalmeiras SPBahia BAAtletico Paranaense PRAtletico Alagoinhas BABahia BABahia BAAtletico Alagoinhas BAAtletico Alagoinhas BABahia BAAtletico Alagoinhas BABahia BAAtletico Alagoinhas BABahia BABahia BAAtletico Alagoinhas BAAtletico Alagoinhas BABahia BAAtletico Alagoinhas BABahia BABahia BAAtletico Alagoinhas BAAtletico Alagoinhas BABahia BAAtletico Alagoinhas BABahia BAAtletico Alagoinhas BABahia BABahia BAAtletico Alagoinhas BA| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bahia BA | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 26:9 | +17 | 23 |
| 2 |  Vitoria BA | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:4 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |  Jacuipense BA | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:10 | +1 | 13 |
| 4 |  Juazeirense BA | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 13 |
| 5 |  Jequie BA | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 |  Porto SC BA | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Barcelona Ilheus BA | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:15 | -8 | 10 |
| 8 |  Galicia BA | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | -7 | 9 |
| 9 |  Bahia de Feira BA | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Atletico Alagoinhas BA | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5:14 | -9 | 3 |
Bahia BA vs Atletico Alagoinhas BA Prediction (Feb 21)
Our Bahia BA vs Atletico Alagoinhas BA prediction for the Campeonato Baiano match on Feb 21, 2026, at 23:00 gives Bahia BA a 70% chance to win. The draw sits at 20%, while Atletico Alagoinhas BA has just a 10% probability. All signs point to a home victory.
Team Form
Bahia BA come into this fixture with a mixed recent record of W, W, L, D, L in their last five games. They secured a 4-1 friendly win over Montevideo City Torque and beat Botafogo RJ 2-1 in Serie A, but suffered a 3-2 defeat at Coritiba PR and a 2-1 cup loss to Remo PA. A 1-1 draw with Gremio RS completed the sequence.
Atletico Alagoinhas BA are in poor form with results of L, D, D, L, L. A 7-1 thrashing by CS Alagoano AL was followed by 0-0 stalemates against Juazeirense BA and CS Esportiva AL, then losses to Jacuipense BA (0-1) and AS Arapiraquense AL (0-3). The team has failed to score in four of those five games.
Head-to-Head Record
Historically, Bahia BA hold a 7-2-4 advantage in 13 meetings. The last four encounters (excluding the fixture to be played) show two Bahia wins, one Atletico win, and one draw. On Jan 17, 2025, Atletico won 1-0 at Bahia. Earlier, the sides drew 3-3 in January 2024, while Bahia won back-to-back Copa do Nordeste clashes in February 2023 by 2-1 scorelines.
League Table Positions
Bahia BA top the Campeonato Baiano standings with 23 points from 9 games (7 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) and a +17 goal difference. At home, they have posted 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring 17 times. Atletico Alagoinhas BA sit bottom with only 3 points (0 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses) and a -9 goal record. The gap in quality and consistency is stark.
Win Probability: Bahia BA or Atletico Alagoinhas BA?
Based on the available data, the win probabilities are: Bahia BA 70%, draw 20%, Atletico Alagoinhas BA 10%. This weighting reflects Bahia's top-of-the-table form, flawless league record, dominant home performances, and a positive head-to-head tally. Atletico's point-less away campaign (implied by their overall record) and a run of five matches without a win make an upset extremely unlikely.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' odds are not currently listed for this match. Regardless, all statistical indicators align on a comfortable home win. Bahia BA should control possession and create the clearer chances. A correct-score bet in Bahia’s favour looks the safest route, with a 2-0 or 3-0 scoreline a plausible outcome.
Bahia BA vs Atletico Alagoinhas BA — FAQ
- Who will win Bahia BA vs Atletico Alagoinhas BA?
- Based on extensive analysis of recent form, league standings, and head-to-head history, Bahia BA have a 70% chance to win, a draw occurs in 20% of simulations, and Atletico Alagoinhas BA win only 10% of the time. The data points clearly to a home victory.
- What is the win probability for Bahia BA?
- Bahia BA have a 70% win probability. This is driven by their position at the top of the Campeonato Baiano table with 23 points from 9 unbeaten matches, a strong home record (4 wins, 1 draw), and a favourable 7-2-4 head-to-head record against Atletico Alagoinhas BA.
- When is the Bahia BA vs Atletico Alagoinhas BA match?
- The match takes place on Feb 21, 2026, with a 23:00 kick-off. It is a Campeonato Baiano fixture in Brazil.
- What are the odds for Bahia BA vs Atletico Alagoinhas BA?
- At the moment, specific 1X2 odds are not provided. When they become available, Bahia BA will almost certainly be listed as heavy favourites, reflecting their superior form and league standing.
- What is the recent head-to-head record between these teams?
- In the last four encounters, Bahia BA have won twice, Atletico Alagoinhas BA once, and one match was drawn. Overall, Bahia lead the historical head-to-head 7 wins to 4, with 2 draws.