Baden - Muttenz prediction 4 July 2026

The Friendly Clubs match between Baden and Muttenz will be played on July 4, 2026, at 13:00. Our Baden vs Muttenz prediction gives Muttenz a 45% chance of winning, with a draw at 30% and Baden at 25%. Below, we break down the team form, head-to-head, and probabilities to help with your betting tips.

Team Form

Baden’s recent form has been poor, with only one win in their last five matches (W L L D L). They lost three, drew one, and claimed a single victory. That run includes a 3-0 away defeat to Freienbach and a 2-2 home draw against FC Collina d'Oro.

Muttenz, by contrast, are unbeaten in their last five (W W D D D). Two wins and three draws show consistency, including a 4-0 away win at Black Stars Basel and a 3-3 draw at Langenthal. Their last defeat came before this sequence, making them the form side coming into this friendly.

Head-to-Head Record

These two teams have not met in previous competitive or friendly fixtures, so there is no historical head-to-head data to analyse. This will be their first recorded meeting in the data we hold.

Win Probability: Baden or Muttenz?

Based on all available data — team form, home advantage, and the lack of any H2H bias — we calculate the following outcome probabilities for this Baden vs Muttenz prediction:

• Baden win: 25%
• Draw: 30%
• Muttenz win: 45%

Muttenz’s unbeaten recent record and Baden’s struggles, especially at home where they have lost twice in their last four, tilt the percentages firmly towards an away victory. However, friendlies can be unpredictable, so the draw is also a realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are currently available for this Friendly Clubs matchup. As the game approaches, odds will likely appear, with Muttenz expected to be priced as favourites. Based on the form stats alone, our prediction is a Muttenz win, with the draw the next most likely result. Baden will need a significant improvement to upset the visitors.