| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.91 | 2.50 | 5.50 | |
| 1.88 | 2.60 | 5.50 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 49:13 | +36 | 39 | |
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 29:21 | +8 | 34 | |
| 3 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 38:20 | +18 | 33 | |
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 26 | |
| 5 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 39:22 | +17 | 24 | |
| 6 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 27:23 | +4 | 19 | |
| 7 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:34 | -6 | 19 | |
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 28:54 | -26 | 18 | |
| 9 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | |
| 10 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11:49 | -38 | 3 |
The Ba Football Association vs Navua prediction points towards a home victory in this Fiji National League clash on July 19, 2026. The match kicks off at 03:00, and based on our win probability analysis, Ba Football Association has a 49% chance of winning, the draw is at 29%, and Navua has a 22% chance.
Ba Football Association comes into this match with solid recent form, recording three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings (W, D, W, W, L). Their most recent result was a 2-1 away victory against Suva on Jul 12. At home, they have been particularly strong, with a 7-0 thrashing of Nasinu FC on May 24 highlighting their attacking potential, though a 3-2 defeat to Rewa on May 17 shows some vulnerability.
Navua's form is less convincing, with one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five matches (D, L, D, D, W). They drew 2-2 at home to Suva on Jul 5 and suffered a 1-0 away loss to Nadi on May 31. Their only win in this run was a 1-0 away success at Rewa on May 9.
The head-to-head record heavily favors Ba Football Association. In their last 7 meetings, Ba has won 5 times, Navua has won twice, and there have been no draws. The most recent encounter on Apr 19, 2026, saw Ba Football Association win 2-0 away at Navua. Ba has also won the last three H2H matches, scoring 2 goals in each of those victories.
In the overall National League standings, Navua sits 4th with 26 points from 17 matches, while Ba Football Association is 5th with 24 points from 17 games. However, the home table reveals a different story: Ba Football Association ranks 1st at home with 16 points from 9 matches (4 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss), scoring 29 goals and conceding only 9. Navua's away form places them 4th with 16 points from 9 away games (5 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). Ba's superior home record is a key factor in this prediction.
After analyzing the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, we calculate the following win probabilities: Ba Football Association has a 49% chance of winning, the draw is at 29%, and Navua has a 22% chance. The odds imply a close contest, but Ba's dominant H2H record (5 wins in 7 meetings) and their status as the best home team in the league significantly boost their chances. Navua's inconsistent recent form (only 1 win in 5) further tilts the probability in favor of the home side.
Bookmakers offer varying odds for this match. One bookmaker prices a Ba Football Association win at 2.30, the draw at 2.38, and a Navua win at 3.80. Another lists the home win at 1.73, the draw at 4.10, and the away win at 3.50. Based on the stats, Ba Football Association is the favorite to win, with the head-to-head dominance and home form providing strong evidence. A home win is the most likely outcome, but the draw odds suggest it cannot be ruled out.