Austria Lustenau - Augsburg prediction 19 July 2025

The Friendly Clubs match between Austria Lustenau and Augsburg on July 19, 2025 sees Augsburg as the favorite with a 50% win probability. Austria Lustenau has a 25% chance, and the draw stands at 25%. Our Austria Lustenau vs Augsburg prediction analyzes team form, head-to-head record, and key statistics.

Team Form

Austria Lustenau enter this match unbeaten in their last five outings (3 wins, 2 draws). Their recent results include a 2-0 victory over FC Wil 1900 on Jun 26, 2026, a 2-1 home win against SKU Amstetten (May 14, 2026), and a goalless draw with Young Boys (Jul 1, 2026). Over this stretch, the team scored 8 goals and conceded only 3, showing solid defensive organization.

Augsburg's form has been slightly more uneven but still positive: 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five. They beat Borussia Monchengladbach 3-1 (May 9), defeated Werder Bremen 3-1 away, and secured an impressive 2-1 win at Bayer Leverkusen. The sole defeat was a heavy 4-0 reverse at Union Berlin (May 16). In total, Augsburg netted 9 times and allowed 8 goals in this period, indicating attacking potency but some defensive vulnerability.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met six times, with Augsburg holding a clear edge: 3 wins to Austria Lustenau's 1, alongside 2 draws. The most recent encounter (the match in question) ended 0-2 in Augsburg's favor. Highlights include a 5-2 Augsburg victory in September 2022 and a shocking 7-0 away win for Austria Lustenau in July 2018. The history suggests that when Augsburg scores first, they tend to control proceedings.

Win Probability: Austria Lustenau or Augsburg?

Based on available data—team form, head-to-head record, and the disparity in league level (Bundesliga vs 2. Liga)—we calculate the following probabilities:

• Austria Lustenau win: 25%
• Draw: 25%
• Augsburg win: 50%

Augsburg's higher division experience and recent Bundesliga scalps give them a significant quality edge. While Austria Lustenau's home form is respectable and they have been tough to beat, the gulf in class makes an away victory the most likely single outcome. The draw cannot be discounted, however, especially in a friendly setting where motivation may vary.

Odds & Match Prediction

Exact bookmaker odds for this Friendly Clubs match are currently not listed in our data. Nevertheless, given Augsburg's stronger squad and favorable head-to-head numbers, bookmakers would be expected to price the Bundesliga side as favorites. Our prediction aligns with that view: Augsburg looks the more probable winner, but Austria Lustenau's recent resilience suggests a low-scoring contest or a draw is possible. The final score in the actual fixture was 0-2 to Augsburg.