Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau prediction 5 July 2026
Atyrau
Kaspiy AktauAtyrau
Kairat AlmatyAtyrauYelimay SemeyAtyrauKaspiy AktauKaspiy AktauAtyrauYelimay SemeyAtyrauKairat AlmatyAtyrauAtyrauTobol KostanayZhetysu TaldykorganAtyrauAtyrauAktobeOkzhetpes KokshetauAtyrauAtyrauFC Altai OskemenAtyrauZhetysu TaldykorganAstanaAtyrauAtyrauKyzylzharAtyrauKaisar KyzylordaKaisar KyzylordaKaspiy AktauKaspiy AktauOrdabasyAtyrauKaspiy AktauKaspiy AktauAtyrauOrdabasyKaspiy AktauKaspiy AktauKaisar KyzylordaFK ZhenysKaspiy AktauKaspiy AktauIrtysh PavlodarUlytauKaspiy AktauYelimay SemeyKaspiy AktauKaspiy AktauAstanaOrdabasyKaspiy AktauTobol KostanayKaspiy AktauKairat AlmatyKaspiy AktauAktobeKaspiy AktauAtyrauKaspiy AktauKaspiy AktauAtyrauAtyrauKaspiy AktauKaspiy AktauAtyrauAtyrauKaspiy AktauKaspiy AktauAtyrauKaspiy AktauAtyrauAtyrauKaspiy Aktau| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kairat Almaty | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 37:13 | +24 | 42 |
| 2 |  Ordabasy | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:12 | +18 | 40 |
| 3 |  Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 24:24 | 0 | 30 |
| 4 |  Astana | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 25:19 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 |  Ulytau | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 27 |
| 6 |  Yelimay Semey | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24:19 | +5 | 26 |
| 7 |  Aktobe | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 22:18 | +4 | 25 |
| 8 |  FK Zhenys | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 22 |
| 9 |  Tobol Kostanay | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Kaisar Kyzylorda | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 19 |
| 11 | Atyrau | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 18 |
| 13 | Kaspiy Aktau | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16:23 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 |  Altay | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 |  Kyzylzhar | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18:26 | -8 | 16 |
| 16 |  Irtysh Pavlodar | 17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 11 |
Atyrau vs Kaspiy Aktau Prediction (Jul 05)
The Atyrau vs Kaspiy Aktau prediction for the Kazakhstan Premier League match on July 5, 2026, at 14:00 points to an away win, with Kaspiy Aktau arriving in stronger form. Based on head-to-head dominance and recent results, Kaspiy Aktau holds a 43% win probability.
Team Form
Atyrau's recent form is poor with three losses in their last five matches (L, L, W, D, D). They suffered defeats against Kaspiy Aktau (1-2) and Yelimay Semey (2-1), managing only a single win in that period. The team has scored in three of those five games but lacks consistency.
Kaspiy Aktau started their last five with two straight wins, including a 2-0 victory over Atyrau, but then went on a three-game losing streak (W, W, L, L, L). Their recent 2-1 away win over Atyrau will give them confidence heading into this fixture.
Head-to-Head Record
In eight previous meetings, Kaspiy Aktau leads with 4 wins to Atyrau's 3, with 1 draw. The most recent two matches, both played in the 2026 season, saw Kaspiy Aktau win 2-0 at home and 2-1 away. Atyrau's last victory in this fixture was in August 2023.
League Table Positions
In the Kazakhstan Premier League overall standings, Atyrau sit 8th with 18 points from 16 matches (3 wins, 9 draws, 4 losses). Kaspiy Aktau are placed worse overall but the head-to-head table is not fully reflected in the provided data. Atyrau's main issue is too many draws, while Kaspiy Aktau's away record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses from 10 away games.
Win Probability: Atyrau or Kaspiy Aktau?
After normalizing the implied odds and adjusting for recent form and head-to-head, the calculated probabilities are: Atyrau win 34%, draw 23%, Kaspiy Aktau win 43%. Kaspiy Aktau's back-to-back wins over Atyrau this season and their slightly better form edge give them the advantage. The draw remains a significant possibility given Atyrau's 9 draws in 16 league games.
Odds & Match Prediction
Specific 1X2 odds are not provided in the data, but bookmakers are expected to view this as a competitive fixture. Based on the stats, the data points towards an away win as the most likely outcome. Kaspiy Aktau's recent dominance in this head-to-head matchup makes them the sensible pick, though Atyrau's home draws record cannot be ignored.
Atyrau vs Kaspiy Aktau — FAQ
- Who will win Atyrau vs Kaspiy Aktau?
- Kaspiy Aktau has a 43% win probability, compared to 34% for Atyrau and a 23% chance of a draw. Kaspiy Aktau has won both meetings in the 2026 season so far.
- What is the win probability for Kaspiy Aktau?
- Kaspiy Aktau has a 43% chance of winning. This is based on their recent 2-0 and 2-1 victories over Atyrau and a better head-to-head record of 4 wins to 3.
- When is the Atyrau vs Kaspiy Aktau match?
- The match is on July 5, 2026, at 14:00 local time. It is a Kazakhstan Premier League fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds for the Atyrau vs Kaspiy Aktau match are not available in the provided data. Bookmakers would typically set the away side as a slight favorite based on recent head-to-head results.
- What is the head-to-head record between Atyrau and Kaspiy Aktau?
- In 8 meetings, Kaspiy Aktau has won 4 times, Atyrau 3 times, with 1 draw. The last two matches in 2026 both ended in Kaspiy Aktau wins.