| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:3 | +18 | 19 | |
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:6 | +10 | 19 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 25:10 | +15 | 18 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:6 | +11 | 17 | |
| 5 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:7 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 11 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 | |
| 8 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 | |
| 9 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3:15 | -12 | 7 | |
| 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3:32 | -29 | 1 |
The Campeonato Catarinense. Serie B match between Atletico Tubarao SC and Fluminense SC on May 31, 2026, at 18:00 points firmly toward a home victory. Our Atletico Tubarao SC vs Fluminense SC prediction gives the hosts a 60% win probability, with the draw at 25% and an away win at just 15%.
Atletico Tubarao SC come into this match in good shape, losing only one of their last five outings (W, W, W, L, D). Their most recent result was a 1‑0 home win against Nacao SC on July 5. Prior to that, they claimed impressive away victories at Jaragua SC (3‑0) and Juventus Jaragua do Sul SC (2‑0). The only blot was a 2‑3 home loss to Blumenau SC, and they also drew 2‑2 at Guarani de Palhoca SC.
Fluminense SC are struggling badly, with just one point from their last five games (D, L, L, L, L). They managed a 1‑1 draw at home against Blumenau SC, but suffered four defeats: 4‑2 at Hercilio Luz SC, 1‑0 at CF Caravaggio SC, 1‑3 at home to Metropolitano SC, and a 0‑1 loss at Atletico Tubarao SC on May 31. This dreadful run leaves them low on confidence.
These two sides have met only twice before. The most recent encounter, on May 31, 2026, ended 1‑0 in favor of Atletico Tubarao SC at home. Fluminense SC won the earlier clash 3‑1 on their own ground in June 2025. The head‑to‑head shows each team won at home, but the latest result gives the home side a psychological edge.
Atletico Tubarao SC sit 5th in the overall Campeonato Catarinense. Serie B table with 14 points from 9 games (3 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss). Fluminense SC are 7th with 10 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses). The home form of Atletico Tubarao SC is particularly strong: they rank 3rd in the home table, remaining unbeaten at their own stadium (2 wins, 2 draws, 8 goals scored, 3 conceded). Fluminense SC’s away record shows 2 wins and 2 losses from 4 trips.
Based on all available data, we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows:
The reasoning is clear. Atletico Tubarao SC are unbeaten at home, have a superior head‑to‑head result this season, and enter in much better recent form with three wins in their last five. Fluminense SC, by contrast, have lost four of their last five and carry a negative goal difference. Home advantage and current momentum make Atletico Tubarao SC the overwhelming favorite to take all three points.
No specific bookmaker odds are available in the data for this fixture. However, based on the form, head‑to‑head, and league positions, Atletico Tubarao SC would be priced as strong favorites. Our final Atletico Tubarao SC vs Fluminense SC prediction is a home win, with the value likely lying in a confident victory for the hosts.