The Copa do Brasil Women match between Atletico Mineiro MG Women and Bahia BA Women takes place on September 16, 2025, at 21:30. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Bahia BA Women are slight favorites with a 40% win probability. Read our Atletico Mineiro MG Women vs Bahia BA Women prediction for full analysis.
Atletico Mineiro MG Women have been inconsistent in their last five matches, recording two wins, two losses, and one draw. They started with a 3-1 home win over Vitoria BA Women in the Copa do Brasil, then lost 2-3 at home to Ferroviaria SP Women. A 2-0 away victory against America MG Women was followed by a heavy 1-4 defeat at Palmeiras SP Women. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-1 home draw with Fluminense RJ Women. The team has scored 9 goals and conceded 9 in this period.
Bahia BA Women come into this match unbeaten in their last five games (W2 D3). They won 1-0 away at Planalto EC GO Women in the Copa do Brasil, drew 3-3 at Fluminense RJ Women, then beat Internacional RS Women 3-0 at home. Two further draws followed: 1-1 at Mixto EC MT Women and 0-0 at home against Palmeiras SP Women. Defensively, they have kept two clean sheets and conceded only 4 goals in these five matches.
These teams have met only once before. In that encounter, Bahia BA Women secured a 1-0 home victory over Atletico Mineiro MG Women. The match took place earlier in the same competition, giving Bahia a psychological edge going into this fixture.
After analyzing the available data, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:
Bahia BA Women are given the highest chance due to their unbeaten run and the head-to-head win. However, Atletico Mineiro MG Women's home advantage and their ability to score goals keep the contest balanced. The draw is a realistic outcome given both teams' recent results.
Bookmakers' odds for this match are currently unavailable. Based purely on the stats, Bahia BA Women are the predicted winners. Their solid form and defensive organization make them the more likely side to take all three points, but a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out. Our final prediction is a narrow win for Bahia BA Women.