Atletico Mineiro MG - Tombense MG prediction 18 January 2026
Atletico Mineiro MG
Tombense MG
Vasco da Gama RJAtletico Mineiro MGAtletico Mineiro MGAcademia Puerto CabelloCorinthians SPAtletico Mineiro MGAtletico Mineiro MGCiencianoAtletico Mineiro MGMirassol SPCeara CEAtletico Mineiro MGAtletico Mineiro MGBotafogo RJJuventud de Las PiedrasAtletico Mineiro MGCruzeiro MGAtletico Mineiro MGCiencianoAtletico Mineiro MGAtletico Mineiro MGFlamengo RJAtletico Mineiro MGCeara CEAtletico Mineiro MGCeara CECoritiba PRAtletico Mineiro MGAtletico Mineiro MGJuventud de Las PiedrasTombense MGCRAC GOCRAC GOTombense MGTombense MGVitoria ESPorto SC BATombense MGTombense MGReal Noroeste ESTombense MGDemocrata MGRio Branco AC ES VictoriaTombense MGTombense MGRio Branco AC ES VictoriaDemocrata MGTombense MGReal Noroeste ESTombense MGTombense MGPorto SC BAVitoria ESTombense MGConfianca SETombense MGUniao Recreativa MGTombense MGTombense MGOratorio APAtletico Mineiro MGTombense MGTombense MGAtletico Mineiro MGAtletico Mineiro MGTombense MGAtletico Mineiro MGTombense MGTombense MGAtletico Mineiro MGAtletico Mineiro MGTombense MGAtletico Mineiro MGTombense MGTombense MGAtletico Mineiro MGTombense MGAtletico Mineiro MGAtletico Mineiro MGTombense MGAtletico Mineiro MGTombense MGAtletico Mineiro MGTombense MGAtletico Mineiro MGTombense MGTombense MGAtletico Mineiro MG| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  America Mineiro MG | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | +4 | 15 |
| 2 |  Cruzeiro MG | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | +7 | 15 |
| 3 | Atletico Mineiro MG | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 16:8 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 |  Pouso Alegre MG | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 | Tombense MG | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  North MG | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Uniao Recreativa MG | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |  Uberlandia MG | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 |  Betim MG | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 |  Democrata MG | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3:8 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 |  Itabirito MG | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
Atletico Mineiro MG vs Tombense MG Prediction (Jan 18)
Our Atletico Mineiro MG vs Tombense MG prediction for the Campeonato Mineiro clash on Jan 18, 2026, sees Atletico Mineiro MG as the strong favorite. Kick-off is at 21:00, and based on current form, head-to-head record, and league standings, the home side holds a 60% win probability.
Team Form
Atletico Mineiro MG comes into this game in excellent shape, recording four wins and one loss in their last five outings (W-W-L-W-W). They have scored freely, including a 3-1 victory over Mirassol SP and a 1-0 away win at Vasco da Gama RJ. In contrast, Tombense MG has only one win in their last five matches (D-L-D-W-D), with the majority ending in draws. Their most recent result was a 0-0 home draw against CRAC GO in Serie D.
Head-to-Head Record
The history between these two teams heavily favors Atletico Mineiro MG. Across 14 previous meetings, Atletico has won 10, with 4 draws, while Tombense MG has never tasted victory. The most recent encounter before this match took place on Feb 22, 2025, where Atletico Mineiro MG secured a 2-0 away win. The earlier match on Feb 15, 2025, saw Atletico win 2-0 at home.
League Table Positions
In the Campeonato Mineiro overall standings, Atletico Mineiro MG sits 3rd with 14 points (3 wins, 5 draws, 0 losses), while Tombense MG is 5th with 12 points (3 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). Atletico’s goal difference of +8 underscores their attacking strength and defensive solidity. At home, Atletico has 1 win and 3 draws in 4 games, highlighting a tendency to stall against stubborn opponents. Tombense’s away form is identical — 1 win and 3 draws from 4 matches — suggesting they are hard to beat on the road.
Win Probability: Atletico Mineiro MG or Tombense MG?
We calculate the win probabilities as follows:
- Atletico Mineiro MG win: 60%
- Draw: 30%
- Tombense MG win: 10%
Atletico Mineiro MG’s unbeaten league campaign and historical dominance give them a clear edge. However, the high number of draws both in their home games and Tombense’s away fixtures raises the chance of a stalemate significantly. Consequently, while an Atletico victory is the most likely outcome, a draw cannot be discounted.
Odds & Match Prediction
At present, bookmakers have not released odds for this fixture. The absence of a betting market makes our statistical model even more relevant. Based on the available data — team form, head-to-head record, and league positions — our Atletico Mineiro MG vs Tombense MG prediction leans toward a home win. Still, the draw at 30% probability suggests bettors might find value in the Double Chance (1X) market if odds become available.
Atletico Mineiro MG vs Tombense MG — FAQ
- Who will win Atletico Mineiro MG vs Tombense MG?
- Based on our analysis, Atletico Mineiro MG has a 60% chance to win, a draw is at 30%, and Tombense MG only 10%. All signs point to an Atletico Mineiro MG victory, although the high frequency of draws in both teams’ recent matches makes a stalemate a credible possibility.
- What is the win probability for Atletico Mineiro MG?
- Our model gives Atletico Mineiro MG a 60% win probability. This is derived from their unbeaten league record (0 losses in Campeonato Mineiro), dominant head-to-head history (10 wins, 0 losses), and home advantage.
- When is the Atletico Mineiro MG vs Tombense MG match?
- The match is scheduled for Jan 18, 2026, with kick-off at 21:00 UTC. It is part of the Campeonato Mineiro competition in Brazil.
- What are the odds for the match?
- As of now, bookmakers have not published odds for this fixture. Once the markets open, expect Atletico Mineiro MG to be heavily favored based on team strength and form. Check back for updates.
- What is the head-to-head record?
- In 14 previous meetings, Atletico Mineiro MG has won 10 times, with 4 draws. Tombense MG has never beaten Atletico Mineiro MG in any official encounter.