| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.60 | 2.20 | 5.00 | |
| 1.58 | 2.12 | 5.40 | |
| 1.58 | 2.20 | 5.25 | |
| 1.57 | 2.20 | 5.00 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | +17 | 41 | |
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | +15 | 34 | |
| 3 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | +5 | 32 | |
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | +6 | 30 | |
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | +6 | 30 | |
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:23 | +4 | 29 | |
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 | |
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | +3 | 25 | |
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | +1 | 25 | |
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 | |
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 | |
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 | |
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 | |
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 | |
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 | |
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 | |
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 | |
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 | |
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 | |
| 20 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
The Serie A clash between Atletico Mineiro MG and Palmeiras SP on Jan 28 is one of the most anticipated matches of the round. Based on recent form and league standings, Palmeiras SP comes into this fixture as the favorite with a 40% win probability, while Atletico Mineiro MG enjoy a 30% chance and the draw sits at 30%.
Atletico Mineiro MG head into the match with strong recent results, winning four of their last five outings (W-W-L-W-W). Their only blip was a narrow 1-0 defeat to Corinthians SP. At home, they have been particularly solid, beating clubs like Mirassol SP 3-1 and Cienciano 2-0.
Palmeiras SP are in even better nick. The visitors have recorded three wins, one loss and a draw in their last five matches (W-W-W-L-D). That run includes a commanding 3-0 away win at Flamengo RJ and a 4-1 home thrashing of CD Junior FC in the Copa Libertadores. The 0-1 home loss to Cerro Porteno was the only recent setback.
The overall head-to-head record between these Brazilian giants shows 4 wins for Atletico Mineiro MG, 17 draws and 9 victories for Palmeiras SP. In the most recent meetings before this match, Palmeiras have had the upper hand: they beat Atletico 3-0 in December 2025 and 3-2 in July 2025, while Atletico's last success was a 2-0 away win in October 2023. The 2023 Copa Libertadores encounter ended goalless.
Palmeiras SP sit comfortably at the top of Serie A with 41 points from 18 matches (12 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss). Their away form is the best in the league — 5 wins, 3 draws and only 1 defeat. Atletico Mineiro MG are 9th with 24 points (7 wins, 3 draws, 8 losses). At home, they have posted just 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 10 matches, which leaves them outside the top 8 home records.
We have calculated the outcome probabilities based on form, standings, head-to-head history and home advantage. Atletico Mineiro MG have a 30% chance of winning, the draw is rated at 30%, and Palmeiras SP lead with a 40% probability. Palmeiras' superior league position, consistent away performances and recent dominance in this fixture give them the edge, but Atletico's good home form and fighting spirit keep them in contention.
No bookmaker odds were provided for this fixture. However, based on the available stats, Palmeiras SP would have been priced as the favorites. Our prediction aligns with that view: the likely result is a Palmeiras win or a high-scoring draw. A 1-1 or 1-2 scoreline looks realistic given the teams' attacking quality.