Palmeiras SP - Atletico Mineiro MG prediction 26 July 2026

Brazil · Serie ANot started
Full Time Result (1X2)
1
1.90
X
2.51
2
6.00
Match Info
CompetitionSerie A · Brazil
Start dateJul 26, 2026
Kick-off22:30
VenueAllianz Parque, São Paulo
Capacity43,713
Surfacegrass
Recent Form
Palmeiras SP
W
W
W
L
D
Atletico Mineiro MG
W
W
L
W
W
Recent matches · Palmeiras SP
Serie AMay 31
Palmeiras SP
Chapecoense SC
10
W
Copa LibertadoresMay 28
Palmeiras SP
CD Junior FC
41
W
Serie AMay 24
Flamengo RJ
Palmeiras SP
03
W
Copa LibertadoresMay 21
Palmeiras SP
Cerro Porteno
01
L
Serie AMay 17
Palmeiras SP
Cruzeiro MG
11
D
CupMay 14
Jacuipense BA
Palmeiras SP
14
W
Serie AMay 10
Remo PA
Palmeiras SP
11
D
Copa LibertadoresMay 05
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras SP
02
W
Serie AMay 02
Palmeiras SP
Santos SP
11
D
Copa LibertadoresApr 30
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras SP
11
D
Serie AApr 26
Red Bull Bragantino SP
Palmeiras SP
01
W
CupApr 23
Palmeiras SP
Jacuipense BA
30
W
Serie AApr 19
Palmeiras SP
Atletico Paranaense PR
10
W
Copa LibertadoresApr 16
Palmeiras SP
Sporting Cristal
21
W
Serie AApr 12
Corinthians SP
Palmeiras SP
00
D
Recent matches · Atletico Mineiro MG
Serie AMay 31
Vasco da Gama RJ
Atletico Mineiro MG
01
W
Copa SudamericanaMay 27
Atletico Mineiro MG
Academia Puerto Cabello
10
W
Serie AMay 24
Corinthians SP
Atletico Mineiro MG
10
L
Copa SudamericanaMay 21
Atletico Mineiro MG
Cienciano
20
W
Serie AMay 16
Atletico Mineiro MG
Mirassol SP
31
W
CupMay 14
Ceara CE
Atletico Mineiro MG
21
L
Serie AMay 10
Atletico Mineiro MG
Botafogo RJ
11
D
Copa SudamericanaMay 05
Juventud de Las Piedras
Atletico Mineiro MG
22
D
Serie AMay 03
Cruzeiro MG
Atletico Mineiro MG
13
W
Copa SudamericanaApr 30
Cienciano
Atletico Mineiro MG
10
L
Serie AApr 26
Atletico Mineiro MG
Flamengo RJ
04
L
CupApr 24
Atletico Mineiro MG
Ceara CE
21
W
CupApr 23
Atletico Mineiro MG
Ceara CE
21
W
Serie AApr 19
Coritiba PR
Atletico Mineiro MG
20
L
Copa SudamericanaApr 16
Atletico Mineiro MG
Juventud de Las Piedras
21
W
Odds
Full Time Result
Pre-match odds
Bookmaker1X2
1.602.205.00
1.582.125.40
1.582.205.25
1.572.205.00
Head-to-Head · summary
9
Palmeiras SP
17
Draws
4
Atletico Mineiro MG
Previous meetings
Serie AJan 28
Atletico Mineiro MG
Palmeiras SP
22
Serie ADec 04
Atletico Mineiro MG
Palmeiras SP
03
Serie AJul 20
Palmeiras SP
Atletico Mineiro MG
32
Serie AOct 19
Palmeiras SP
Atletico Mineiro MG
02
Copa LibertadoresAug 10
Palmeiras SP
Atletico Mineiro MG
00
Copa LibertadoresAug 03
Atletico Mineiro MG
Palmeiras SP
01
Serie AMay 28
Atletico Mineiro MG
Palmeiras SP
11
Serie ASep 29
Atletico Mineiro MG
Palmeiras SP
01
Copa LibertadoresAug 11
Palmeiras SP
Atletico Mineiro MG
00
Copa LibertadoresAug 04
Atletico Mineiro MG
Palmeiras SP
22
Copa LibertadoresAug 04
Atletico Mineiro MG
Palmeiras SP
22
Serie AJun 05
Palmeiras SP
Atletico Mineiro MG
00
Serie AJun 05
Palmeiras SP
Atletico Mineiro MG
00
Serie ANov 24
Palmeiras SP
Atletico Mineiro MG
22
Copa LibertadoresSep 29
Atletico Mineiro MG
Palmeiras SP
11
Copa LibertadoresSep 22
Palmeiras SP
Atletico Mineiro MG
00
Serie AAug 14
Atletico Mineiro MG
Palmeiras SP
20
Serie AAug 14
Atletico Mineiro MG
Palmeiras SP
20
Serie AFeb 26
Atletico Mineiro MG
Palmeiras SP
20
Serie ANov 02
Palmeiras SP
Atletico Mineiro MG
30
Serie AOct 06
Palmeiras SP
Atletico Mineiro MG
11
Serie AOct 06
Palmeiras SP
Atletico Mineiro MG
11
Serie AMay 12
Atletico Mineiro MG
Palmeiras SP
02
Serie ANov 11
Atletico Mineiro MG
Palmeiras SP
11
Serie ANov 11
Atletico Mineiro MG
Palmeiras SP
11
Serie AJul 22
Palmeiras SP
Atletico Mineiro MG
32
Serie AJul 22
Palmeiras SP
Atletico Mineiro MG
32
Serie AJul 22
Palmeiras SP
Atletico Mineiro MG
32
Serie ASep 09
Atletico Mineiro MG
Palmeiras SP
11
Serie AJun 04
Palmeiras SP
Atletico Mineiro MG
00
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Palmeiras SP18125130:13+1741
2Flamengo RJ17104331:16+1534
3Fluminense1995529:24+532
4Red Bull Bragantino SP1993726:20+630
5Atletico Paranaense PR1893624:18+630
6Bahia BA1885527:23+429
7Coritiba PR1875624:24026
8Sao Paulo SP1874723:20+325
9Botafogo RJ1874733:32+125
10Vitoria BA1874722:25-325
11Atletico Mineiro MG1873822:23-124
12Corinthians SP1866618:19-124
13Cruzeiro MG1866624:28-424
14Internacional RS1856721:22-121
15Santos1956827:31-421
16Gremio RS1956821:25-421
17Vasco DA Gama1955922:30-820
18Mirassol SP1854920:25-519
19Remo PA1846821:29-818
20Chapecoense-sc18161117:35-189
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Atletico Mineiro MG vs Palmeiras SP Prediction (Jan 28)

The Serie A clash between Atletico Mineiro MG and Palmeiras SP on Jan 28 is one of the most anticipated matches of the round. Based on recent form and league standings, Palmeiras SP comes into this fixture as the favorite with a 40% win probability, while Atletico Mineiro MG enjoy a 30% chance and the draw sits at 30%.

Team Form

Atletico Mineiro MG head into the match with strong recent results, winning four of their last five outings (W-W-L-W-W). Their only blip was a narrow 1-0 defeat to Corinthians SP. At home, they have been particularly solid, beating clubs like Mirassol SP 3-1 and Cienciano 2-0.

Palmeiras SP are in even better nick. The visitors have recorded three wins, one loss and a draw in their last five matches (W-W-W-L-D). That run includes a commanding 3-0 away win at Flamengo RJ and a 4-1 home thrashing of CD Junior FC in the Copa Libertadores. The 0-1 home loss to Cerro Porteno was the only recent setback.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record between these Brazilian giants shows 4 wins for Atletico Mineiro MG, 17 draws and 9 victories for Palmeiras SP. In the most recent meetings before this match, Palmeiras have had the upper hand: they beat Atletico 3-0 in December 2025 and 3-2 in July 2025, while Atletico's last success was a 2-0 away win in October 2023. The 2023 Copa Libertadores encounter ended goalless.

League Table Positions

Palmeiras SP sit comfortably at the top of Serie A with 41 points from 18 matches (12 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss). Their away form is the best in the league — 5 wins, 3 draws and only 1 defeat. Atletico Mineiro MG are 9th with 24 points (7 wins, 3 draws, 8 losses). At home, they have posted just 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 10 matches, which leaves them outside the top 8 home records.

Win Probability: Atletico Mineiro MG or Palmeiras SP?

We have calculated the outcome probabilities based on form, standings, head-to-head history and home advantage. Atletico Mineiro MG have a 30% chance of winning, the draw is rated at 30%, and Palmeiras SP lead with a 40% probability. Palmeiras' superior league position, consistent away performances and recent dominance in this fixture give them the edge, but Atletico's good home form and fighting spirit keep them in contention.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds were provided for this fixture. However, based on the available stats, Palmeiras SP would have been priced as the favorites. Our prediction aligns with that view: the likely result is a Palmeiras win or a high-scoring draw. A 1-1 or 1-2 scoreline looks realistic given the teams' attacking quality.

Atletico Mineiro MG vs Palmeiras SP — FAQ

Who will win Atletico Mineiro MG vs Palmeiras SP?
Based on our analysis, Palmeiras SP has a 40% chance of winning, while Atletico Mineiro MG has a 30% probability. The draw is also rated at 30%. Palmeiras are the slight favorites due to their top-of-the-table form and strong head-to-head record.
What is the win probability for Palmeiras SP?
Palmeiras SP have a 40% chance to win the match. Their excellent away record (best in Serie A) and recent 3-0 victory over Flamengo RJ support this probability. Home advantage for Atletico Mineiro MG pulls the odds closer.
When is the Atletico Mineiro MG vs Palmeiras SP match?
The match is scheduled for Jan 28 at 22:00. It will be played in the Brazilian Serie A. Both teams will be looking for vital points — Atletico to climb the table and Palmeiras to extend their lead.
What are the odds for the match?
No specific bookmaker odds were available for this fixture. However, based on the statistics, Palmeiras SP would have been priced as the favorites to win. Check your local bookmaker for the latest 1X2 odds.
What is the head-to-head record between these sides?
In the overall head-to-head, Atletico Mineiro MG have 4 wins, Palmeiras SP have 9 wins and there have been 17 draws. The last three encounters before this game saw two Palmeiras victories (3-0 and 3-2) and one Atletico win (2-0).
Palmeiras SP – Atletico Mineiro MG · match page
Palmeiras SP vs Atletico Mineiro MG Live Score & Result 26 July 2026