Tarazona - Atletico Madrid B prediction 15 March 2026

Atletico Madrid B vs Tarazona prediction: the Primera Federacion match kicks off on Mar 15, 2026 at 15:00, and the home side Atletico Madrid B enters as the favorite with a 45% win probability. Tarazona has a 25% chance, and the draw sits at 30%. This analysis is based on team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage.

Team Form

Atletico Madrid B's last five matches show a mixed record: L, D, W, L, W (two wins, one draw, two losses). In that run they scored in both wins, including a 4-3 thriller against Sabadell, but also suffered a 2-1 loss at Eldense.

Tarazona's recent form reads L, L, W, D, D (one win, two draws, two losses). They kept two clean sheets in their win and draws, but failed to score in the two losses and in the 0-0 stalemates.

Head-to-Head Record

In the only previous meeting this season, Atletico Madrid B hosted Tarazona on Jan 3, 2026, and the match ended 1-1. That single head-to-head encounter gives no team a clear advantage, but it shows competitive balance.

Win Probability: Atletico Madrid B or Tarazona?

Based on the available data, we calculate the following probabilities:

• Atletico Madrid B win: 45%
• Draw: 30%
• Tarazona win: 25%

Atletico Madrid B benefits from playing at home and a slightly better recent win rate, but their inconsistency and Tarazona's ability to grind out draws (two in the last five) raise the chance of a stalemate. Tarazona's away form is weak, so a win for the visitors is less likely.

Match Prediction

Atletico Madrid B has the edge on form and home turf, but the draw represents a real danger. The stats suggest a narrow home victory or a low-scoring draw. We predict that Atletico Madrid B will avoid defeat, with a final score of 1-0 or 1-1.