Atletico Grau - Juan Pablo II prediction 22 February 2026

Atletico Grau vs Juan Pablo II prediction for the Primera Division clash on Feb 22, 2026, at 20:30 UTC. Based on the latest team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, Atletico Grau enters as the slight favorite with a 45% chance of winning, while the draw stands at 28% and Juan Pablo II has a 27% probability.

Team Form

Atletico Grau's last five matches show a mix of results: two wins and three losses. They beat Cesar Vallejo Moquegua (1-0) at home, lost away to Cusco FC (0-1), won away at Universitario De Deportes (0-1), then lost at home to Cienciano (1-2) and away to AD Tarma (0-1). This W-L-W-L-L sequence indicates inconsistent performances, especially with two home defeats in the last three outings.

Juan Pablo II's recent form is even weaker. Their last five games produced one draw and four losses. They lost 4-1 away to Deportivo Garcilaso, drew 1-1 at home with FBC Melgar, lost 0-2 at home to Alianza Atletico, lost 2-1 away to Sport Huancayo, and suffered a heavy 1-4 home defeat to Universitario De Deportes. The away matches in this run were all defeats, highlighting serious travel struggles.

Head-to-Head Record

The last two meetings before this fixture were split evenly. Atletico Grau won 2-0 at home in July 2025, while Juan Pablo II triumphed 3-1 at home in November 2025. With one win each and no draws, the head-to-head record offers no clear advantage, though the most recent clash favored the away side.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the overall Primera Division standings, suggesting both are in the lower half of the table. The available home and away standings also do not list them, so a direct positional comparison is not possible. However, Atletico Grau's home form has been slightly more reliable than Juan Pablo II's away performances, which have consistently ended in defeat.

Win Probability: Atletico Grau or Juan Pablo II?

Atletico Grau has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Juan Pablo II has a 27% chance. These probabilities are derived from a combination of home advantage, the contrasting recent form, and the balanced head-to-head record. Grau's two wins in five games, including a notable away victory over Universitario, give them a slight edge, while Juan Pablo II's four losses in five and a goal difference of -8 in that period push their chances down. The draw is a realistic outcome given the teams' struggles to dominate.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match are not available in the data. Based purely on the statistical factors, the prediction leans toward Atletico Grau as the more likely winner. However, the low probabilities for all outcomes reflect a tight contest. A 1-0 or 2-1 home win are the most probable scorelines, but a draw cannot be ruled out. Juan Pablo II's poor away form makes an away win the least likely event.