Celta Vigo C - Atletico Arteixo prediction 25 January 2026

The Atletico Arteixo vs Celta Vigo C prediction for January 25, 2026, in Spain's Tercera Federacion. Atletico Arteixo is the favorite with a 45% win probability, while the draw stands at 30% and Celta Vigo C has a 25% chance. Read on for detailed betting tips and match analysis.

Team Form

Atletico Arteixo's recent results (most recent first): 1-2 loss to Compostela (away), 2-1 win vs Compostela (home), 1-2 loss to CD Estradense (home), 1-0 win at CD Estradense (away), and a 2-2 home draw with Silva SD. That's two wins, two defeats, and one draw in their last five outings. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 8 in this period, showing defensive vulnerabilities.

Celta Vigo C's last five matches: a 5-1 away win at CF Noia, a 4-1 home win over Villalbes, a 0-2 home loss to Alondras CF, a 0-0 away draw at Polvorin FC, and a 1-2 away loss to Viveiro CF. They also have two wins, two losses, and a draw, with 10 goals scored and 6 conceded. Their away form has been mixed: two wins, one draw, and one loss in the last four road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical head-to-head between these two clubs heavily favors draws. In 9 meetings, Atletico Arteixo has won just once, Celta Vigo C has won twice, and 6 matches have finished level. The most recent encounter was on September 6, 2025, when Atletico Arteixo claimed a convincing 4-1 home victory. Prior to that, a 1-1 draw in April 2025, a 2-1 away win for Celta Vigo C in December 2024, and a 3-3 draw in March 2024. The high number of draws suggests that a tight, competitive match is likely.

League Table Comparison

In the overall Tercera Federacion standings, Atletico Arteixo occupies 3rd place with 58 points (16 wins, 10 draws, 8 losses; goals for 54, against 44). Celta Vigo C is 7th with 51 points (13 wins, 12 draws, 9 losses; goals for 57, against 42). Arteixo has a slightly better home record: 9 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses (32 points) compared to Celta Vigo C's away record of 5 wins, 7 draws, 5 losses (22 points). This home advantage is a key factor in the prediction.

Win Probability: Atletico Arteixo or Celta Vigo C?

We calculate the probabilities as follows: Atletico Arteixo win 45%, draw 30%, Celta Vigo C win 25%. These numbers are derived from the teams' league positions, home/away form, and the heavily draw-influenced head-to-head record. Arteixo's third-place standing and strong home results make them the clear favorite, but the 6 draws in 9 H2H meetings increase the draw likelihood. Celta Vigo C's inconsistent away form lowers their chances.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not yet available from bookmakers. The betting market is 1X2. Based on the stats, the safest prediction is a home win or a draw. Atletico Arteixo to win is the most probable single outcome, but the high draw history means a double chance bet on Arteixo or draw could be valuable once odds are released.