Club Leon - Atlas Guadalajara prediction 18 July 2026
Club Leon
Atlas GuadalajaraClub LeonAtlas Guadalajara
TolucaClub LeonClub LeonClub AmericaClub LeonFC JuarezPueblaClub LeonClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraAtletico San LuisClub LeonChivas GuadalajaraClub LeonClub LeonTijuanaMazatlan FCClub LeonClub LeonNecaxaClub LeonSantos LagunaCF Monterrey RayadosClub LeonQueretaroClub LeonClub LeonTigres UANLClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraCruz AzulAtlas GuadalajaraAtlas GuadalajaraCruz AzulClub AmericaAtlas GuadalajaraAtlas GuadalajaraTigres UANLSantos LagunaAtlas GuadalajaraAtlas GuadalajaraCF Monterrey RayadosClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraChivas GuadalajaraAtlas GuadalajaraAtlas GuadalajaraQueretaroTolucaAtlas GuadalajaraAtlas GuadalajaraChivas GuadalajaraAtlas GuadalajaraTijuanaFC JuarezAtlas GuadalajaraAtlas GuadalajaraAtletico San LuisClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraAtlas GuadalajaraClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraClub LeonClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraAtlas GuadalajaraClub LeonClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraAtlas GuadalajaraClub LeonClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraAtlas GuadalajaraClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraClub LeonClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraAtlas GuadalajaraClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraClub LeonClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraClub LeonAtlas GuadalajaraAtlas GuadalajaraClub Leon| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pachuca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 |  Tijuana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Toluca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 |  CF Monterrey Rayados | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Cruz Azul | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Atlas Guadalajara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Necaxa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Club America | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Puebla | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Santos Laguna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 |  Atletico San Luis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Club Leon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 |  Atlante | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 |  Queretaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |  FC Juarez | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 |  Tigres UANL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 |  Chivas Guadalajara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 |  Pumas UNAM | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Atlas Guadalajara vs Club Leon Prediction (Jul 18)
The Atlas Guadalajara vs Club Leon prediction for the Liga MX match on Jul 18 at Estadio León points to a tight contest. Based on our analysis, Atlas Guadalajara has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Club Leon holds a 30% win probability.
Team Form
Atlas Guadalajara
Atlas Guadalajara's last five matches show mixed results: two wins, one draw, and two losses. They lost 1-0 to Cruz Azul on May 10, then fell 2-3 at home to the same opponent on May 3. A 1-0 away win against Club America on Apr 26 and a 0-0 home draw with Tigres UANL on Apr 23 were followed by a 1-0 victory at Santos Laguna on Apr 19. The form string reads L, L, W, D, W, indicating inconsistency but with some defensive solidity in recent away games.
Club Leon
Club Leon enters the match with three wins and two losses in their last five outings. They suffered a heavy 4-1 defeat at Toluca on Apr 26 and a narrow 2-3 home loss to Club America on Apr 22. However, they bounced back with a 3-1 home win over FC Juarez on Apr 19, a 1-0 away win at Puebla on Apr 11, and a 2-0 home victory against Atlas Guadalajara on Apr 5. Their form pattern (L, L, W, W, W) shows a strong recovery and includes a recent head-to-head win over today's opponent.
Head-to-Head Record
In 26 all-time meetings, Atlas Guadalajara has won 10, Club Leon 9, and 7 ended in draws. The last five encounters, however, heavily favor Club Leon: they won three, Atlas won one, and one draw. The most recent clash on Apr 5, 2026, saw Club Leon beat Atlas 2-0 at home. The previous match on Oct 23, 2025, ended 2-0 to Atlas, while Club Leon won 2-1 on Jan 19, 2025. A 0-0 draw on Oct 24, 2024, and a 1-0 Club Leon win on Feb 18, 2024, complete the recent picture. Club Leon clearly has the psychological edge in this fixture.
Win Probability: Atlas Guadalajara or Club Leon?
After removing the bookmaker margin from average odds (home 1.945, draw 2.445, away 3.70), the baseline probabilities were Atlas 43.1%, draw 34.3%, Club Leon 22.7%. We then adjusted for current form, head-to-head trends, and the venue. The match is at Estadio León – Club Leon's home ground – even though Atlas is listed as the home team. Club Leon's superior recent form (3 wins in 5, including a win over Atlas) and their 3-1-1 record in the last five H2H meetings reduce Atlas's advantage. The final probabilities are: Atlas Guadalajara win 38%, draw 32%, Club Leon win 30%. Atlas remains a slight favorite, but the data suggests a very close match where a draw or an away win are realistic outcomes.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Atlas Guadalajara as the favorite, with home win odds ranging from 1.91 to 1.98 across major platforms. The draw is priced between 2.15 and 2.30 (one outlier at 3.65), while a Club Leon victory sits at 3.60 to 3.80. These odds reflect Atlas's nominal home status, but the venue and recent results point to a more balanced affair. Based on the stats, Atlas Guadalajara has a narrow edge, but Club Leon's form and the Estadio León factor make a draw a strong possibility. Our prediction: a low-scoring match with a high chance of a stalemate or a one-goal margin either way.
Atlas Guadalajara vs Club Leon — FAQ
- Who will win Atlas Guadalajara vs Club Leon?
- Atlas Guadalajara has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Club Leon has a 30% chance. Atlas is the slight favorite, but the match is too close to call with certainty.
- What is the win probability for Atlas Guadalajara?
- Atlas Guadalajara's win probability is 38%. This figure comes from bookmaker odds adjusted for recent form and the fact that the game is played at Club Leon's home stadium, which reduces the usual home advantage.
- When is the Atlas Guadalajara vs Club Leon match?
- The match is scheduled for Jul 18, 2026, at 01:00 UTC. It is a Liga MX fixture and will take place at Estadio León in Leon, Mexico.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers have Atlas Guadalajara as the favorite with odds around 1.91 to 1.98 for a home win. The draw is priced between 2.15 and 2.30, and a Club Leon win is offered at 3.60 to 3.80.
- What is the head-to-head record between Atlas Guadalajara and Club Leon?
- In 26 meetings, Atlas Guadalajara has won 10, Club Leon 9, and 7 matches ended in draws. Club Leon has dominated recent encounters, winning three of the last five, including a 2-0 victory on Apr 5, 2026.