Necaxa - Atlante prediction 17 July 2026
Necaxa
AtlanteNecaxaAtlante
Cruz AzulNecaxaNecaxaChivas GuadalajaraNecaxaTigres UANLQueretaroNecaxaNecaxaMazatlan FCNecaxaTijuanaPueblaNecaxaNecaxaPumas UNAMPachucaNecaxaClub LeonNecaxaNecaxaTolucaFC JuarezNecaxaNecaxaAtletico San LuisClub AmericaNecaxaNecaxaAtlanteNew Mexico UnitedAtlanteCD Tepatitlan de MorelosAtlanteAtlanteCD Tepatitlan de MorelosAtlanteAtletico La PazCancun FCAtlanteAtlanteMineros de ZacatecasVenados FCAtlanteAtlanteDorados de SinaloaTlaxcala FCAtlanteAtlanteAtletico MoreliaLeones Negros UDGAtlanteIrapuatoAtlanteAtlanteAlebrijes de OaxacaCorrecaminos UATAtlanteNecaxaAtlante| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cruz Azul | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 6 |
| 2 |  Pachuca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Tijuana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 |  CF Monterrey Rayados | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Atlas Guadalajara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Toluca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 | Necaxa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Club America | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Puebla | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 |  Pumas UNAM | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 |  Santos Laguna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 |  Atletico San Luis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Atlante | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 |  Queretaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |  FC Juarez | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 |  Tigres UANL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 |  Chivas Guadalajara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Atlante vs Necaxa Prediction (Jul 17)
The Atlante vs Necaxa prediction for the Liga MX match on July 17, 2026, at 01:00 at Estadio Victoria in Aguascalientes points to a tight contest. Based on the latest odds and team form, Atlante is the favorite with a 42% win probability, while Necaxa has a 24% chance of winning.
Team Form
Atlante's last five matches show a mixed record: a 3-3 draw against New Mexico United (friendly), a 0-2 loss to CD Tepatitlan de Morelos, a 2-0 win over the same opponent, a 1-1 draw with Atletico La Paz, and a 1-2 defeat to Cancun FC. That's one win, two draws, and two losses.
Necaxa's recent form is identical in terms of results. They lost 1-4 to Cruz Azul, drew 0-0 with Chivas Guadalajara, drew 1-1 with Tigres UANL, lost 1-3 to Queretaro, and beat Mazatlan FC 2-1. Also one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five outings.
Head-to-Head Record
There are no recorded head-to-head matches between Atlante and Necaxa, so no historical data can influence the prediction.
Win Probability: Atlante or Necaxa?
Using the average odds from six bookmakers (home: 1.83–1.96, draw: 2.18–3.78, away: 3.50–4.00), the implied probabilities after removing the margin are: Atlante win 44.5%, draw 33.1%, Necaxa win 22.4%. However, both teams share the same recent form (1W-2D-2L) and the match is at Estadio Victoria, Necaxa's home ground, which slightly reduces Atlante's advantage. We adjust the probabilities to: Atlante 42%, draw 34%, Necaxa 24%. Atlante remains the more likely winner, but a draw is a strong possibility.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Atlante as the favorite, with best home odds around 1.83 and highest at 1.96. The draw is priced between 2.18 and 3.78, while an away win for Necaxa pays between 3.50 and 4.00. Based on the stats, Atlante has the edge, but the similar form and venue factor make a draw a realistic outcome. Our prediction: Atlante to win, but with caution.
Atlante vs Necaxa — FAQ
- Who will win Atlante vs Necaxa?
- Atlante is the favorite with a 42% win probability, while Necaxa has a 24% chance. The draw is estimated at 34%, making it a very possible result given both teams' identical recent form.
- What is the win probability for Atlante?
- Atlante has a 42% chance of winning. This is based on bookmaker odds (average home odds of 1.885) adjusted for the teams' similar form and the venue being Necaxa's home stadium.
- When is the Atlante vs Necaxa match?
- The match is on July 17, 2026, at 01:00. It is a Liga MX fixture and will be played at Estadio Victoria in Aguascalientes, Mexico.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds from six bookmakers range from 1.83 to 1.96 for an Atlante win, 2.18 to 3.78 for a draw, and 3.50 to 4.00 for a Necaxa victory.