| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 35:10 | +25 | 30 | |
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 25:7 | +18 | 30 | |
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 24:15 | +9 | 30 | |
| 4 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 23:19 | +4 | 23 | |
| 5 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 26:24 | +2 | 21 | |
| 6 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | +2 | 21 | |
| 7 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 19 | |
| 8 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 21:16 | +5 | 18 | |
| 9 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 29:30 | -1 | 18 | |
| 10 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 25:30 | -5 | 17 | |
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 20:18 | +2 | 15 | |
| 12 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 14 | |
| 13 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 13 | |
| 14 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:35 | -19 | 10 | |
| 15 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8:26 | -18 | 5 |
The Atlante vs Correcaminos UAT prediction for the Liga de Expansion MX match on February 14, 2026, at 01:00 UTC sees Atlante as the clear favorite with a 65% win probability. The league leaders host a struggling Correcaminos UAT side, and all indicators point to a home victory.
Atlante's recent form has been mixed, with two wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six, including a friendly. Their last five results: a 3-3 draw against New Mexico United (friendly), a 0-2 loss to CD Tepatitlan de Morelos, a 2-0 win over CD Tepatitlan de Morelos, a 1-1 draw with Atletico La Paz, and a 1-2 loss to Cancun FC. At home, they remain unbeaten in the league this season.
Correcaminos UAT are in dire form, having lost four consecutive league matches and recording only one draw in their last five outings. Those results: a 0-0 draw with Chivas Guadalajara (friendly), a 1-3 loss to Alebrijes de Oaxaca, a 1-3 loss to Mineros de Zacatecas, a 1-3 loss to Cancun FC, and a 1-2 loss to Dorados de Sinaloa. They have conceded 11 goals in their last four competitive games.
In the overall head-to-head across 10 meetings, Atlante have won 6, Correcaminos UAT have won 3, and 1 match ended in a draw. The last four encounters (excluding the upcoming fixture) show a balanced 2-2 record: Atlante won 5-1 in September 2025 and 3-1 in October 2024, while Correcaminos UAT won 2-0 in April 2025 and 1-0 in September 2023. Atlante have scored 11 goals in those four games, highlighting their attacking threat.
Atlante sit top of the Liga de Expansion MX standings with 30 points from 14 matches (9 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), scoring 35 goals and conceding only 10. Their home record is formidable: 5 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses, with 18 goals for and just 3 against. Correcaminos UAT are not in the top 12 of the table, indicating a much lower position and a struggling campaign.
Based on the available data, the win probabilities are calculated as follows: Atlante win 65%, draw 20%, Correcaminos UAT win 15%. The reasoning is straightforward: Atlante are league leaders with an unbeaten home record and a strong goal difference, while Correcaminos UAT are in poor form, losing four straight league matches and showing defensive frailties. The head-to-head record slightly favors Atlante, and the home advantage further tilts the scale. The conclusion is that Atlante are the most likely winners.
At the time of writing, odds for this match are not available. Bookmakers are yet to release prices, but based on the stats, Atlante would be expected to be short-priced favorites. Our prediction is a home win for Atlante, with a likely scoreline of 2-0 or 3-1 given their attacking output and Correcaminos UAT's defensive struggles.