Ascoli U19 - Perugia U19 prediction 10 January 2026
Ascoli U19
Perugia U19Ascoli U19
Empoli U19Ascoli U19Pescara U19Catanzaro U19Ascoli U19Ascoli U19Avellino U19Pisa U19Ascoli U19Ascoli U19Monopoli U19Ascoli U19Bari U19Palermo U19Ascoli U19Crotone U19Ascoli U19Ascoli U19Ternana U19Spezia U19Ascoli U19Ascoli U19Salernitana U19Benevento U19Ascoli U19Ascoli U19Nuova Cosenza U19Empolis U20Ascoli U19Perugia U19Modena U19Perugia U19Reggiana U19Palermo U19Perugia U19Pisa U19Perugia U19Perugia U19Salernitana U19Spezia U19Perugia U19Nuova Cosenza U19Perugia U19Perugia U19Pescara U19Perugia U19Ternana U19Avellino U19Perugia U19Monopoli U19Perugia U19Perugia U19Benevento U19Ascoli U19Perugia U19Perugia U19Pisa U19Salernitana U19Perugia U19Ascoli U19Perugia U19Ascoli U19Perugia U19Ascoli U19Perugia U19| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Empoli U19 | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 74:19 | +55 | 74 |
| 2 |  Como U19 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 58:31 | +27 | 61 |
| 3 |  Lecco U19 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 65:50 | +15 | 60 |
| 4 | Perugia U19 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 46:27 | +19 | 55 |
| 5 |  Modena U19 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 55:38 | +17 | 55 |
| 6 |  Avellino U19 | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 54:36 | +18 | 53 |
| 7 |  Pescara U19 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 51:37 | +14 | 52 |
| 8 |  Pisa U19 | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 54:41 | +13 | 48 |
| 9 |  Catanzaro U19 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 42:35 | +7 | 48 |
| 10 |  Spezia U19 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 55:43 | +12 | 48 |
| 11 |  AlbinoLeffe U19 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 57:58 | -1 | 47 |
| 12 |  Reggiana U19 | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 58:44 | +14 | 46 |
| 13 |  Pro Vercelli U19 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 46 |
| 14 |  Benevento U19 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 42:49 | -7 | 46 |
| 15 |  Virtus Entella U19 | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 47:38 | +9 | 43 |
| 16 |  Ternana U19 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 50:53 | -3 | 42 |
| 17 |  Sampdoria U19 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 57:48 | +9 | 41 |
| 18 |  Vicenza U19 | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 45:53 | -8 | 38 |
| 19 |  Sudtirol U19 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 37 |
| 20 |  Monopoli U19 | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 37 |
| 21 |  Cittadella U19 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42:49 | -7 | 36 |
| 22 |  Bari U19 | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 42:42 | 0 | 35 |
| 23 | Ascoli U19 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 47:50 | -3 | 33 |
| 24 |  Renate U19 | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 34:44 | -10 | 33 |
| 25 |  Palermo U19 | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 27 |
| 26 |  Venezia U19 | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 32:63 | -31 | 26 |
| 27 |  Nuova Cosenza U19 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 30:60 | -30 | 25 |
| 28 |  Padova U19 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 34:53 | -19 | 25 |
| 29 |  Salernitana U19 | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 28:61 | -33 | 24 |
| 30 |  Crotone U19 | 30 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 20:62 | -42 | 13 |
Ascoli U19 vs Perugia U19 Prediction (Jan 10, 2026)
Ascoli U19 vs Perugia U19 prediction for the Campionato Primavera 2 U19 match on January 10, 2026, at 13:30. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Perugia U19 is the favorite with an estimated 50% win probability, while Ascoli U19 has a 20% chance of victory and the draw sits at 30%.
Team Form
Ascoli U19 come into this match on a dreadful run of five consecutive defeats. Their latest results:
- May 09: Ascoli U19 1-2 Empoli U19 (home loss)
- Apr 24: Ascoli U19 2-3 Pescara U19 (home loss)
- Apr 18: Catanzaro U19 3-2 Ascoli U19 (away loss)
- Apr 11: Ascoli U19 1-2 Avellino U19 (home loss)
- Apr 02: Pisa U19 3-2 Ascoli U19 (away loss)
Despite scoring in all five defeats, the defence has leaked two or more goals in each game. The team sits outside the top 12 in the league table, highlighting a season of struggle.
Perugia U19 are in much better shape, winning three of their last five outings. Their recent matches:
- May 23: Perugia U19 1-2 Modena U19 (home loss)
- May 16: Perugia U19 2-0 Reggiana U19 (home win)
- May 09: Palermo U19 0-1 Perugia U19 (away win)
- Apr 25: Pisa U19 2-1 Perugia U19 (away loss)
- Apr 18: Perugia U19 3-1 Salernitana U19 (home win)
With 16 wins and only 7 losses from 30 league games, Perugia U19 have been consistent and enter this fixture as the superior side on paper.
Head-to-Head Record
The last three meetings between Ascoli U19 and Perugia U19 all took place at Ascoli. The home side has never lost this fixture across those encounters:
- Jan 10, 2026: Ascoli U19 0-0 Perugia U19 (draw)
- Apr 19, 2025: Ascoli U19 3-2 Perugia U19 (home win)
- Jan 27, 2024: Ascoli U19 1-1 Perugia U19 (draw)
Ascoli hold one victory and two draws overall. Perugia are yet to beat Ascoli away from home, but the most recent stalemate suggests a tight contest is likely again.
League Table Positions
Perugia U19 finished the regular season 4th in the Campionato Primavera 2 U19 standings with 55 points (16 wins, 7 draws, 7 losses). They scored 46 goals and conceded only 27. On the road, they rank 4th with a record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, posting 17 goals for and 15 against.
Ascoli U19 are not present in the top 12 of the overall table, indicating a season well below the level of their opponents. The gap in points, goals, and overall performance strongly favours Perugia.
Win Probability: Ascoli U19 or Perugia U19?
Using team form, H2H history, league positions, and home/away factors, we calculate the following outcome probabilities for this match:
- Ascoli U19 win: 20%
- Draw: 30%
- Perugia U19 win: 50%
The total chance of an away win is half of all possible outcomes. Perugia’s strong league performance (4th place, only 7 defeats all season) and Ascoli’s five-match losing streak are the main drivers. However, Ascoli’s unbeaten home H2H record (1W, 2D) and Perugia’s tendency to draw away (6 draws from 15 road games) prevent a higher probability for the visitor. The draw is rated at a solid 30%, while Ascoli’s home advantage gives them a 20% shot at an upset.
Odds & Match Prediction
Specific bookmaker odds are not available in the provided data, but all available statistical indicators point to Perugia U19 as the most likely winner. The visitors’ league table dominance, better recent results, and Ascoli’s defensive frailties make an away victory the single most probable outcome. Still, the head-to-head record suggests caution — Ascoli have not lost this exact fixture in three previous editions. Our prediction leans towards a low-scoring affair where Perugia U19 should edge it if current form holds, but a draw cannot be ruled out.
Match prediction: Perugia U19 to win, with a tight scoreline (0-1 or 1-2).
Ascoli U19 vs Perugia U19 — FAQ
- Who will win Ascoli U19 vs Perugia U19?
- Our probability model gives Ascoli U19 a 20% win chance, the draw 30%, and Perugia U19 a 50% win chance. Perugia are the clear favourites based on league position and recent form.
- What is the win probability for Perugia U19?
- Perugia U19 have a 50% probability of winning this match. This calculation weighs their 4th-place finish, Ascoli’s five straight defeats, and a head-to-head record where Ascoli have never lost at home but Perugia’s overall quality gives them the edge.
- When is the Ascoli U19 vs Perugia U19 match?
- The match takes place on January 10, 2026, at 13:30 local time (UTC). It is a Campionato Primavera 2 U19 fixture in Italy.
- What is the head-to-head record between Ascoli U19 and Perugia U19?
- In their three previous meetings, all at Ascoli, the records shows 1 win for Ascoli U19, 2 draws, and 0 wins for Perugia U19. The most recent clash ended in a 0-0 draw on January 10, 2026.